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If all the oiled sellers could stop being weird I'd appreciate it.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24707210 Sold for Gifted Vivid Jeepcap (Needs a mini, mini at 1.6)
1.6 * 0.9 = 1.44 (rounding to 1.4 - outlier)
Histories;
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3479383501,30019,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3451918927,417,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24868106 Has sold for 1 pure?
Histories:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119609529?time=1422518400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119609529?time=1422864000
Jeepcap mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24376729 Sold for 18 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3451918927,417,5 -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3298250855,30006,5
Sold for OF Noble Nickel (~2.1)
2.1 * 0.9 = 1.89 (rounding to 1.9)
So, 1.3-1.9? Fine.
I really don't know. I'm taking one and running away.
Let it ride.
Why is 1.4 an outlier?
Sale at 1 had a B/O of 1 (ish), as have other recent (ish) sellers, such as http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22870127
ish.
1 seems like a quicksell. If a hat sells for a buds in a few days, it doesn't mean it can't sell for more than 1 in a reasonable amount of time. In fact, you show that it CAN sell for 1.4. I would give this a range. Capping based on b/os is tricky. Say there were 3 sellers on the market for a buds or if there was one seller on the market that couldn't sell for a buds in a month. Then, it's totally fine to say it shouldn't be valued more than that. But basing it off a quicksell and an unbumped trade isn't a reasonable justification for calling 1.4 an outlier.
ugh