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You know what's funny? This is one of my easiest suggestions this month.
Sold for 3 Buds + 7 Keys(3.5 at the time)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105371797?time=1420012800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105371797?time=1420099200
Sold fro 3 Buds + 10 Keys(3.7 at the time)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067295068?time=1417248000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067295068?time=1417334400
Sold for a Green Energy Scotsman's Stovepipe(2.7, Offered, Outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24485075
Sold for a Scorching Flames Bloke's Bucket Hat(3.2 with Overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988601599?time=1417138291 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988601599?time=1417161600
Sold for a Massed Flies Troublemaker's Tosslecap(2.5 with Overpay) and a Green Confetti Demoman's Fro(1.3 with Overpay)(3.8 Total)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053230820?time=1418678884 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053230820?time=1418976000
Sold for a Cloud 9 Sergeant's Drill Hat(2.1 with Overpay), 11 Keys and an Uncraftable Summer Hat(~7.5 Keys with Overpay)(3.5 Total)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081123470?time=1420531200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081123470?time=1420704000
Sold for 3 Buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083310137?time=1421395200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083310137?time=1421620032
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24535793
Sold for a Max's Severed Head(3.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3400234935,183,5 Drill History
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3426797720,162,6 Max's History
Sold for an Australium Spec KS Knife(~1.85 with Overpay) and an Australium Spec KS Ambassador(~1.35 with Overpay)(3.2 Total)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107903058?time=1421049600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107903058?time=1422960947
Sold for a Nuts & Bolts Villain's Veil(2.95, Offered, rounding to 3)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034696849?time=1421563386 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034696849?time=1421568000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24606977
Sold for a Scorching Flames Bombing Run(2.2 with Overpay) and a Vintage Bill's(1.3 with Overpay)(3.5 Total)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092472474?time=1422691200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092472474?time=1422777600
Although 2.7 is low, the other sales seem to fit perfectly. 3-3.8 should be fine.
Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.
Sales at 2.7, 3, 3 (pure), 3.2, 3.3 (pure), 3.4, 3.5 (pure), 3.5, 3.5, 3.7 (pure), 3.8
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24177080
Rejected
- 3 buds pure
- Clean Max's ~3.3
Personally I rejected clean max's on my trade as well: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23576638
And I bought it as a QS for 3 buds pure + sweets ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23535854 a bit old tho)
An overpay on bloke's shouldn't be applied as well since I was offering ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22732931 )
3 buds is a QS price, imo. I would go with 3.4-3.8 or 3.3-3.8 (have this suggestion almost done in my notes :D )
There's a second sale for 3 buds that took nearly a week to do. It's debatable if 3 is a quick sold or not, but I believe the range is fine.
The numbers between 3 and 3.8 are pretty tight too with the consistency of sells.
Eh, the veil and stovepipe sales kinda reinforce 3 and 3.3 being in the range, specially since the drill was offered on both of them.
A sale for stovepipe is quite iffy since the owner of drills rejected clean max's on his own trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24712789
The guy who offered it on veil didn't even have a trade opened :/
To be fair, the 3 bud one took 2 weeks to sell, even if people are willing to pay 3 to 3.3 pure, it would take time for it to sell at that.
It ain't very fair to undermine them because of rejected offers(even tho idk what the stove guy was smoking)
I quick-sold mine in <6 hours for a clean Max Head:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24595752
But I was only asking for 42 keys (~3 buds), so the sale isn't 3.3. It was one of the sales you included.
Recent sales
Sold for a Searing Plasma Tartan Tyrolean(2.7 with Overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109756299?time=1423382400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109756299?time=1423596669
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24760134
Sold for a Spellbound Ye Oiled Baker Boy(3.6 with Overpay) and ~2.5 Keys in Sweets(3.8 Total)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050245284?time=1423382400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050245284?time=1423555200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034334484?time=1423555200
Both support the current range.