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~485 keys
amaranthine
Unusual Liquidator's Lid Amaranthine
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I fixed it


Sales:

Sale #1: (outlier)

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24910009[/url] sold for aces counterfeit billycock ->[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24910395[/url]

[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067973130?time=1423036800[/url] <- buyer before sale #1

[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067973130?time=1423036800[/url] <- buyer after sale #2

15.3*0.9 ~ 14 keys


Sale #2:

[url]http://backpack.tf/item/3354868753[/url] and [url]http://backpack.tf/item/3131870284[/url] and [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067973130?time=1423036800[/url]

sold for steaming pomp + strange deadringer

(20 + 11/13) * 0.9 ~ 19 keys


Minis:

Aces Billycock mini:

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24681970[/url] and [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24684316[/url]

sold for 143 ref (11 keys at the time) + 4 keys in sweets and 2 games valued at 1 key each

(11+4+2) ~ 15.3 keys


Pomp mini:

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24448234[/url] - bought one for 20 keys

~20 keys


I'm deeming 14 keys an outlier, tell me if I'm wrong


Feedback is appreciated

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24910009 Offered way above this price almost immediately.

    I would call 19 outlier too.

      the current seller on outpost actually sold yesterday, and had been open for 4 days. the offer for 19 was someone trying to get it after I posted the first suggestion. There have only been 2 sales, the unboxer gave it away after a while, and it got into the hands of people that didn't truly care about the prices of the items as much as the items themselves.


      1 of 2, 0 on the market. Ive recorded all sales that can possibly be known. What should I do? Close and leave it to rot?

        I think it would probably be best to close this. I mean, there's the EOF Hermes + 10 keys offer that blows this price out of the water, and we can use logic, comparing this effect to it's price on other similarly tiered hats, to tell that's probably far more representative of this item's true value.

      if this was really 19 keys, i'd be all over it

      You are right on saying its a outlier, he got offers much higher than 14

        the seller on outpost sold yesterday

        I'd say the sale is an outlier.

          There have only been 2 sales, the unboxer gave it away. There are 2 that exist, no more will exist until next halloween. 1 has been on the market, the other is unaccounted for. The sale isnt an outlier, necessarily. Based on the sales, I had an option: 14 keys or 19 keys. I figured since it was a halloween effect it was obscenely low, and gave it 19.