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"Accurate suggestion." Sure, I can give an accurate suggestion. An accurate suggestion that shows someone lowballing a hat and the only sale within' the past three months. Hence, a price drop occurs and ensues a certain someone getting mad.
(Recorrected the sale. Thought two hats were involved, but they actually weren't. Must've been sleepy that day.)
==========================================================================
- - - - - The Sold - - - -
==========================================================================
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24281558 - Sold for the items listed below.
Scorching Flames Pyromancer's Mask: 19.9 Buds (Outdated)
Burning Flames Flamenco: 22 Buds.
22 + 19.9 = 41.9 * 0.9 = 37.71 > 37.7 Buds.
Constraint/Buyout: 70 Buds.
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045030062?time=1420963200
==========================================================================
- - - - - The Mini Suggestions - - - -
==========================================================================
Scorching Flames Pyromancer:
Sold for a Sunbeams Razor Cut* (24.8), Pro KS Aussie Grenade Launcher (1.92 + 1.24) , Aussie Stickybomb Launcher (1.92)
Pro KS Kit: 37.77 (lowest)
Earbud: 30.5.
Price: +1.24 Buds.
24.8 + (1.92 + 1.24) + 1.92 = 29.88 * 0.9 = 26.892 > 26.9 Buds
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045030062?time=1422232148
=
Sold for an Arcana Y.W.N. + 2 Max's Heads. (1 Clean, 1 Duped)
7.2 * 0.9 = 6.48 + 3.3 + 2.97 = 12.75 > 12.8 Buds.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140308865?time=1422691200
===
Sunbeams Razor Cut:
Sold for a Death at Dusk Team Captain.
(Blizzardy Norman and President Tin Topi (Duped) was involved.)
33 * 0.9 = 29.7 - 4 - 0.9 = 24.8 Buds
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082086159?time=1422777600
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082086159?time=1422866979
===
Blizzardy Storm Norman:
There is one sale; however, it is very likely an outlier. Taking 4 buds as conservative part of the range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24329929 - Rejected offer of roughly 4 buds.
===
President Topi
Sold for a Terror Watt Rubber Glove* (1.035)
1.035 * 0.9 = 0.93 > 0.9 Buds.
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072054962?time=1422086400
Terror-Watt Rubber Glove
Sold for a Miami Night Cone (1.15)
1.15 * 0.9 = 1.035
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126058118?time=1421913600
==========================================================================
Conclusions on the Scorching Pyromancer
26.9 - 12.8 = 14.1 / 2 = 7.05 > 7.1
12.8 + 7.1 = 19.9 Buds.
***Unable to find any other sales at all. Proof is quite limited and vague. Taking 19.9 as a middle price.
==========================================================================
muh dreem unus ;-;
rounding it would be beautiful-ler(better) IMO
Lol do as you please Potato and get this hat priced at this.
I will resuggest a more accurate range when there are two sales to list which will be the case when I trade mine.
Otherwise it may also be worthwhile checking what Bobsplosion paid for his. He recently obtained his and you would have two trades http://backpack.tf/item/1233261669
Also suggesting I lowballed is inappropriate. This meant I offered on the seller's hat which I didn't and lets face it unless there are actual screenshots provided by one of the participants it is assumptions which may or may not be true. In this case he contacted me not vice versa and offered me a deal which I accepted. If he chooses to disclose the deal that's fine but in the meantime I respect his privacy.
Update:
Checked with seller. He doesn't want disclosure but, as I suspect you wont believe me, I suggest you contact him directly to confirm this.
http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198045030062
One last comment.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/7-how-to-create-a-good-unusual-price-suggestion/
Read the section called 'DO find confirmable past sales'
Trades are between 2 individuals in the Valve world and are private in nature. We are under no obligation to disclose trade contents. If the participants in the trade do not wish to disclose their trade then 'detective work' like yours can be unreliable. I would have thought screenshots would have been the minimum requirement.
Anyway even if this was a valid price suggestion it might well be considered as an outlier. I have attached a offer that I declined http://imgur.com/j9S9PIT . The hats were a burning stahl, a scorching beak, a pro strange rifle, a genuine hat and a bud. I estimate the value around 55 buds.
So I appreciate you spent a pile of time creating this suggestion but if you contacted the seller or me first you would have saved yourself a lot of time.
Regards the scorching mancer arcana trade that really appears to be an outlier. I see no B/O under 20 buds and I doubt that a trade that low would be a common occurrence.
Burning flamenco needs a mini suggestion, I sold it for much more than 22 buds. I don't have time to screenshot and provide evidence/ find other recent sales at the moment though.
Trying to be unbiased as possible. But seeing my Unusual getting price off an outlier makes my heart drop. I own a duped version of the Hat, and that means the offers should be lower than 37.7, right? Wrong, if anything, the previous owner and I have gotten offers over the current backpack.tf price. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24706812 Duped Burning Stash + DaD Tyrants (~44) Morning Glory Law for TC and adds, no current backpack.tf price, but valued at around 50, and many other offers. The Zombie Jesus sale was not a lowball, rather an outlier, the seller of the Team Captain really wanted the Pyro Set, hence their profile picture.
It was absolutely not a lowball, it was me who was the one who was asking him over the course of a few days to try sort a deal out because I wanted the set, not the other way around. You guessed right, I just really wanted to own the set at the time. I prefer not to disclose exactly what we decided upon though.
Thanks tidak. Appreciate your input. Good luck with getting a good deal on that sweet Dusk TC you have.