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~925 keys
stormy
Unusual Antlers Stormy Storm
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The First God-tier i'm confident about


Sale 1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24486479 Sold for Twatt Antlers + 4 buds pure

B/O for Stormy was 14

B/O for Twatt was 10


X = 6.3*0.9 + 4

X = 10.1


Twatt http://backpack.tf/item/2223759040

Stormy http://backpack.tf/item/2985900003

Bud 1 http://backpack.tf/item/96009223

Bud 2 http://backpack.tf/item/260333987

Rest of the buds have vanished


Mini for Twatt

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24517311 Sold for RA Cosa

Cosa had no trade, presuming offered


X = 7*0.9

X = 6.3


Cosa http://backpack.tf/item/1670782338

Antlers http://backpack.tf/item/2223759040


Sale 2 OUTLIER

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24316512 Sold for KaW Antlers + 1 key + TS Bill's + Stormy Bomber

B/O for Stormy was 15

B/O for KaW was 11


X = 6*0.9 + 0.1 + 0.3*0.9 + 3*0.9

X = 8.5


Bomber http://backpack.tf/item/1286350015

KaW http://backpack.tf/item/3073443466

Stormy http://backpack.tf/item/2985900003

Bill's http://backpack.tf/item/165394173

Key http://backpack.tf/item/2909836047


Mini for Bomber

B/O of 36 keys on classifieds, using 36 keys (3)


Sale 3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24199083 Sold for AF Front Runner + Lev 61 Max

B/O for Antlers was 12.9

B/O for Front Runner was 12


X = 8.3*0.9 + 3.3

X = 10.8


Max http://backpack.tf/item/203085219

Antlers http://backpack.tf/item/2985900003

Runner http://backpack.tf/item/1659562112


Mini for Front Runner

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24957604 Sold for Pro KS Aussie Rocket Launcher + 1 bud + BMOC + 6 keys

RL had a B/O of 7


X = 7*0.9 + 1 + 0.5 + 0.6*0.9

X = 8.3


RL http://backpack.tf/item/3164689079

Front Runner http://backpack.tf/item/1659562112

BMOC http://backpack.tf/item/644226099

Bud http://backpack.tf/item/117603384


Mini for Rocket Launcher

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Rocket%20Launcher Sold for $240 on Feb 7th


240 + 240/1.15 = $448.69

$448.69/2 = $224.35

Buds were $30.05 on Feb 7th

$224.35/30.05 = 7.5 buds

    whats wrong with 8.5-11? Some justification it's an outlier should be included.

      2 sales at ~10 is basically enough. You can say 'but what about that sale at 8.5' blahblah, but with 2 sales at 10 and 1 at 8.5, it would be fair to say 10 is not the outlier.

        yeah, i dont disagree, it could just be rounded to 9-11 if you wished, and id personally favor a wider range than a smaller one. Your call, though.

        i get one more than 10.8.but 10.1~10.8 still ok to me .upvote

          The 8.5 sale is based on the the KAW antlers getting valued at 5.4 in pure here. 5.4 could be as much as two buds low as offers like the burning stovepipe are getting rejected.