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The First God-tier i'm confident about
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24486479 Sold for Twatt Antlers + 4 buds pure
B/O for Stormy was 14
B/O for Twatt was 10
X = 6.3*0.9 + 4
X = 10.1
Twatt http://backpack.tf/item/2223759040
Stormy http://backpack.tf/item/2985900003
Bud 1 http://backpack.tf/item/96009223
Bud 2 http://backpack.tf/item/260333987
Rest of the buds have vanished
Mini for Twatt
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24517311 Sold for RA Cosa
Cosa had no trade, presuming offered
X = 7*0.9
X = 6.3
Cosa http://backpack.tf/item/1670782338
Antlers http://backpack.tf/item/2223759040
Sale 2 OUTLIER
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24316512 Sold for KaW Antlers + 1 key + TS Bill's + Stormy Bomber
B/O for Stormy was 15
B/O for KaW was 11
X = 6*0.9 + 0.1 + 0.3*0.9 + 3*0.9
X = 8.5
Bomber http://backpack.tf/item/1286350015
KaW http://backpack.tf/item/3073443466
Stormy http://backpack.tf/item/2985900003
Bill's http://backpack.tf/item/165394173
Key http://backpack.tf/item/2909836047
Mini for Bomber
B/O of 36 keys on classifieds, using 36 keys (3)
Sale 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24199083 Sold for AF Front Runner + Lev 61 Max
B/O for Antlers was 12.9
B/O for Front Runner was 12
X = 8.3*0.9 + 3.3
X = 10.8
Max http://backpack.tf/item/203085219
Antlers http://backpack.tf/item/2985900003
Runner http://backpack.tf/item/1659562112
Mini for Front Runner
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24957604 Sold for Pro KS Aussie Rocket Launcher + 1 bud + BMOC + 6 keys
RL had a B/O of 7
X = 7*0.9 + 1 + 0.5 + 0.6*0.9
X = 8.3
RL http://backpack.tf/item/3164689079
Front Runner http://backpack.tf/item/1659562112
BMOC http://backpack.tf/item/644226099
Bud http://backpack.tf/item/117603384
Mini for Rocket Launcher
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Rocket%20Launcher Sold for $240 on Feb 7th
240 + 240/1.15 = $448.69
$448.69/2 = $224.35
Buds were $30.05 on Feb 7th
$224.35/30.05 = 7.5 buds
whats wrong with 8.5-11? Some justification it's an outlier should be included.
2 sales at ~10 is basically enough. You can say 'but what about that sale at 8.5' blahblah, but with 2 sales at 10 and 1 at 8.5, it would be fair to say 10 is not the outlier.
yeah, i dont disagree, it could just be rounded to 9-11 if you wished, and id personally favor a wider range than a smaller one. Your call, though.
i get one more than 10.8.but 10.1~10.8 still ok to me .upvote
The 8.5 sale is based on the the KAW antlers getting valued at 5.4 in pure here. 5.4 could be as much as two buds low as offers like the burning stovepipe are getting rejected.