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Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25047901 - b/o: 6 buds
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24844742 - sold for 1 bud + 19 keys (2.6 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24940918 - sold for harvest moon hustlers (not sure what was added but b/o of 4 buds)
Maybe you shouldn't include the 2.6 bud sale in the range, and call it an outlier?
Only two sales and the range isn't too awful (as compared to others).
Put mine on SCM for 60 €, didn't sell, then sold it for 40 €.
http://puu.sh/giF33/594a06d87d.png
I definitely wouldn't say 4 buds (its like 80 €, and couldn't sell for 60 € so yeah)
staying neutral, but I hope I added a proof.
it sold within the day therefore can be considered quicksold
edit: also what did you buy it for? because i don't see anything significant difference changing from both of your bp's
I got a really nice deal for around 12 keys pure (more like 11.5 or whatever) so I would consider this as outlier. But I still think that 4 buds is really too much, but yeah ... For your information it was put at 4 buds on bp.tf for more than 10 days (bought it the 15 or 16 feb, lazy to check)
i don't understand why 4 buds would be an outlier when your 2 sales are definite quicksells
Because it doesn't sell for 4? Well I tried for days to put it for 4 buds (Bazaar + backpack.tf classifieds) and got absolutely 0 offer, when I had the tag "allow negociation" on and specified it the notes. This is kinda cancerous, I can't believe someone would pay more for a smoking effect, non-all-class hat. Also wtf is that harvest hustler sale? No more proofs for a hat worth 15+ buds? Weird, need more research.
should i suggest at 2.6-3 since this sold for a hearts trencher: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24951207 and the hearts trencher had a b/o of 3
I personnally would think it's more accurate, yup.