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Thanks to JacobMeister for finding a sale I missed.
Raising price of hat I own by small amount, obvius manipulation plz ban.
Sale 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24044955
Sold for 24.5 buds and minor sweets.
Sale 2 OUTLIER: Sold for a duped Secret Bomber (mini below)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026372829?time=1423409030
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026372829?time=1423468800
Sale 3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24652299 - Sold for a Vivid TC and Searing Plasma Beak (26.05 times .9= 23.445, rounding to 23.5)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051431077?time=1421395200
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051431077?time=1421482630
Sale 4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24002694 - 19 buds + 28 keys, turns into 21.1 buds, rounding to 21.
Bomber mini (the difficulty of pricing this made it seem like traceable usable sales were the real Secret to Everybody, ended up using recent offers): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24767213 -recently offered a Dusk Dread Hoof plus a max, making Sale 2 a clear outlier.
Other recent trades involved scammers or were untracable, but if I missed one please tell me!
As usual, if there is anything wrong with this suggestion please tell me and I will try to fix it! Thanks in advance and have a nice day :)
I'm not too sure about the raise. I know this thing needs an update, but having owned TWO in the past, I'm not too sure.
I had several offers of 18ish, this was two months ago though so eh.
I love the hat and effect, but it's just a bit of a pain. From what I've seen, there's been a couple of sellers at 19, in the past few weeks.
HOWEVER, taking a look at the sellers at the moment, there's all the usual "CLEANEST ON MARKET - 25+ BUDS" sellers, the ones asking for offers and the ones within the range. Your proof is solid, and I can't really fault it. So, begrudgingly, upvote.
"From what I've seen, there's been a couple of sellers at 19, in the past few weeks."
You sure those weren't duped? I feel like those had to have been duped.
Could've been.
I didn't bother checking properly, wasn't really in the market for 'em at the time. Only just got back into trading in the past week.
Might've been quicksales or something. I'm just not too sure if 19 is completely out of the range, but from your proof, as I said, it seems otherwise.
And always Proof >>>> Opinions.
Although, I did sell it, alongside some other low tiers for around 23 or something. I believe it came out at 19 for the Modest. But this was about 2 months ago.
Thanks for the info anyways! Without proof though as I'm glad you agree with, we probably have to assume it was duped or a quicksale. Or the current proof just shows Burning Modests have gone up a bit in the past to months.