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Told to resuggest at 4.9-5 buds
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Sale 1:
A duped Orb fire TC was Offered (and sold for) a Secret cap + DBD robo stove + S amby (with parts) + 1 key
Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24741134
Screenshot: https://fbcdn-sphotos-h-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpa1/v/t34.0-12/10965517_766017553494358_1460855849_n.jpg?oh=75dae5e178720b9c75a6d3e05c857ac8&oe=54D78473&__gda__=1423353939_155d5a06a3cf3058ee2748f1385f613f
Buyer's bp: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017528844?time=1421740800 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017528844?time=1421827200
TC owner's bp: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107656855?time=1421740800 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107656855?time=1421827200
Duped TC mini: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24783065 B/O of 5.5, offer of 4.5 pure, offer of Scorching brain bucket + orb fire HWNN if 3 keys are added (0.9(4.3+1.2) - 0.24 = 4.75 buds). http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24396811 Non duped TC was offered 5.5 pure. Will assume price to be 5.5.
Stove pipe mini: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23731999 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24903521 Sold for a pro KS genuine sharp dresser (3 keys + value of kit which is around 13 keys total) + 3 keys (Total value of about 16 keys) which would support the lower end of the Stove's most recent suggested value.
X= value of Medic's cap
5.5 = X + 0.9(1.3) + 0.9(0.64 taking value of SF amby with parts at 8 keys) + 0.08
5.5 = X + 1.826
3.674 = X = 3.7 rounded.
Sale 2:
Sold for 4 buds + 11 keys = 4.9
Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24797107
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017528844?time=1422259200 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017528844?time=1423123200
Screenshot: https://fbcdn-sphotos-h-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpf1/v/t34.0-12/10967798_766017550161025_938534560_n.jpg?oh=5bcf45431dec0d8d5c740ff926d689e6&oe=54D7765E&__gda__=1423428995_bee10a05a9b5edbb43090a5c98e5bf06
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More sales (Thanks to aaroncsm)
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24420939 Sold for Scorching Flames Western Wear(4 buds * 0.9 = 3.6 buds) + Orbiting Fire Brainiac Hairpiece(3.2 buds outdated). This will probably end up capping at 6 buds.
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24562479 Sold for level 1 max(3 buds) (Outlier)
3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24630470 b/o 5 buds . Offered 4 buds pure.
Sold for Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Rocket Launcher + Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Knife (This is probably ~4.5 - 5 buds )
Backpack of seller after the trade
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052107106?time=1422777600
4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24955952 b/o 5.5
Sold for Scorching Flames Ze Goggles(5.5 buds * 0.9 = 5 buds)
5. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24979734 Sold for Circling Heart Medics Moutain Cap(outdated) . Can probably use this sale to update this medic mountain's cap circling heart.
Mini
Scorching Flames Ze Goggles
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24979716 Sold for Knifestorm Festivizer(5.35 buds * 0.9 = ~4.8) + 1 bud. Making this ~5.8 buds but seller's b/o is 5.5 buds.
Sales seem to be closer to 5 buds. I would probably call the 3.7 buds sale(Offer of 4 buds pure in sale #3) and the 6 buds sale(Common b/o less than 6) outliers and go with a range of 4.9-5 buds.