Suggestion: Aces High Hat of Cards at 57.6–60 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24725458 Sold for Misty Skull Backbiter's Billycock(3.5 buds) + Strange Festive Stickybomb Launcher(12 keys). Making this ~4.3 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25130128 Sold for 60 keys pure(~5 buds)

current seller:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24952260 - received a collecting offer of 4 buds + 10 keys (guy already has 4 buds and as seen by his comment and here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24927449 he seems to like the HoC enough to make that offer pretty valid)

recap:

sales are 4 (quick?), 4.3 , 4.8 (pure), 5 , 5 , 5 (pure) also it has a collecting offer of 4.8

Other suggestion isn't exactly wrong but there are multiple sales at 5 and that 4 bud sale went in a day so I'd say this one is more correct.

The 4 buds pure wasn't sold in a day. He collected it for 15 days and traded only on the 2nd of january http://backpack.tf/item/1891462146

Backpack of seller after the trade http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100931016?time=1420185600

How about the DBD el jefe sale which has an outdated price. With overpay and a mini, that will probably be ~4 or less

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25119220 Sold for DBD El Jefe (4.6 buds outdated)

i never said 4 buds sold in a day - "buyer posted the day it was put on sale", if he had the pure at the time,he would have bought it tho.

also why bother making a mini on the jefe ? we have 4 sales at 4.8-5 - two of which are pure + the collecting offer. the jefe can be updated with the HoC

“Collecting” offers are not valid proof by the way. at that point he was collecting.

Making a mini on that Jefe would help justifying if 4 is or not an outlier, although there are 4 sales above that.

you missed the 4 sales at 4.8-5 where two are pure - part

the "collecting offer" is just supportive

Well you can't really ignore those sales that happened less than that though. Keeping in mind that the 4 buds sale eventhough he offered on the day of the posting, he had a full 2 weeks to take any offers more than that but he ended up selling for 4 pure to the guy who initially offered that anyway.

Realistically speaking without thinking about using this hat to update the el jefe, that sale would've been pretty safe to assume to be closer to 4 anyway.

So we have 3 sales closer to 4 buds and 4 sales closer to 5, a pretty even distribution of sales on both ends was the reasoning behind why i suggested the range to capture all data points.

It is great to see that you took the initiative to counter with a reasonable reasoning behind it. To make this a fair judgement, I will not be reviewing these suggestions and another mod will have a look at this. Peace out =)

i suppose the best way to deal with this would be to see if the one on OP will sell for 4 buds + 10 keys

it does = 4.8-5 , it doesn't = 4-5

that would be definitive

edit: he declined the offer <.>

o.o he declined the offer? Im more confident in 4.8-5 now

i can't make a move till other mods come in on this though