Suggestion: Knifestorm Private Eye at 82.5–88 keys

Price Suggestion

~1500 keys

knife

98 votes up

27 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Wed, 11 Mar 15 13:08:44 +0000 by aaroncsn.

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Comments

Hey this is my second unusual suggestion, thanks again to Brendan ( http://backpack.tf/u/76561198031371895 )

There are only 2 of this hat in existence. A lot of sales were invalid due to being in high end trades with multiple unusuals, I managed to find almost all of the valid trades in the last 3 months.

Sale 1:

Sold for Australium Minigun ([29/12]*0.9) + Australium Sniper Rifle ([44/12]*0.9) + Australium Grenade Launcher ([24.5/12]*0.9) + Collector’s Sydney Sleeper ([2.4/12]*0.9) = 2.175 + 3.3 + 1.8375 + 0.18 = 7.4925 (rounding to 7.5 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25074894

http://i.imgur.com/pSskBi7.png

Sale 2:

Sold for Nuts Team Captain (2.95*0.9) + Smoking Brown Bomber (1.9*0.9) + Australium Flame Thrower ([21/12]*0.9) + 2 buds + sweets (~0.1) = 2.655 + 1.71 + 1.575 + 2 + 0.1 = 8.04 (rounding to 8 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24884293

http://i.imgur.com/TEZEnKr.png

Sale 3: (outlier, quicksell)

Sold for Green Energy Le Party Phantom + Prof Australium Blutsauger + Strange Prof Pistol.

Blutsauger = $48.38 = 19.352 rounds to 19 keys, Pistol = $9.79 = 3.916 rounds to 4 keys. 7.4 x 0.9 = 6.66 rounding to 6.7 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24594306

http://gyazo.com/028ebed0a6655c77dd62d11f410ef20a

Notes:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25074894 - B/O of 8 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24594306 - B/O of 8 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25113011 - B/O of 8 buds

Conclusion:

Sales at 7.5, 8 and a quicksale at ~6.7 buds. Along with the 3 trades with B/Os of 8 buds, taking a final range of 7.5-8 buds.

N&B Team Captain is outdated, might mess with your high end. :S

Thanks for pointing that out, I didn't notice. Do you have any noteable sales you could point me to for a possible mini?

Nah I'm pretty dumb when it comes to unusual pricing. I know what to look for but as far as actually gathering evidence, I fall flat.

All I advise is to bookmark trades on OP and keep this suggestion open until you can find something conclusive (or you can close it if you like doing so).

How do I do a mini? Do I need sales? Would sellers be sufficient?

Well usually with minis it's one of two things you'd have to do to make an appropriate mini:

1) You find one sale (that's not a quicksell)

2) If there are no recent sales, you look at the B/O's on the market and average the prices (I'm iffy on the averaging bit)

Can I use offers on current trades?

Don't think you can, which trade were you looking at? The four I saw on OP had no tentative offers.

Hang on i think I found a sale.

Before - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059804965?time=1424505600

After - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059804965?time=1424592000

Don't know what it sold for, maybe try cross-referring the backpacks to see what you get.

That's about all I've got, good luck man.

Thanks a bunch, also how does he have a untradeable australium rocket launcher with 9000 kills?

He quicksold it for an australium wrench... :/ can't use that I guess

Alright, this is the best I can do for a mini on the oudated N&B TC. (last suggestion accepted 4 months ago)

2 sellers at 3 buds (which is the price I used in the suggestion and the current price)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25199791

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25187321

I don't really feel like it's outdated, but someone said it was... so yeah... I bookmarked all the trades on outpost, no sales in the past three days, so I used buy outs. Doesn't change my range at all from what I can see.

Nevermind, found a sale at 3 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25187321

That should be a more proper mini. Still doesn't change my range :)

The sale was actually for a Max's head and a black paint, 3.25 + 0.2 x 0.9 = 3.15 rounding to 3 buds.

Found another sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25040793

35 keys, rounding to 3 buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25272852 b/o 7 buds. Sold for Cloud 9 Modest Hat(6.5 buds * 0.9 = ~5.9 buds) + 1 bud. Making this ~6.9 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25263569 Sold for Scorching Flames Duty Rag(4.4 buds * 0.9 = ~4 buds) + 1 bud + ~8.5 keys in sweets. Making this ~5.7 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25113011 Traded this + 1 bud for Smoking Law(8 buds outdated). With overpay applied using the outdated price of the law, it would be in the 6 ish region.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24307721 Sold for Burning Flames Stout Shako(5 buds * 0.9 = 4.5 buds) + 20 keys + ~2 keys in sweets. Making this sale ~6 buds.

I do not see any evidence of the sale #3 being a quicksell. It was sold after 19 days. That is a pretty long time to even consider it an outlier. That sale should probably be around the 6 buds region as well.

With so many sales in the 6 buds region, this range is high and those sales are probably outliers.

I would go with a range of 5.7-6.9 buds Please resuggest at that. Thanks.