Tightening the range with a conservative drop as well.

Classified ads at time of posting:

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Festive%20Bonesaw&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1

3*5

1*5.22

2*5.33

1*5.55

1*5.66

2*5.88

14*6

Unsolds at 6 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25125058 (1 week, has taunting players kills)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25133904 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25117766 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25056601 (2 weeks)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25064429 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24727649 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25163182 (4 days)

Sellers at 5.66 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24978084 (2 weeks old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25192224 (A day old)

Sellers at 5 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25196297 (A day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25181926 (2 days old, never bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25142212 (5 days old, never bumped)

Seller at 4.55 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25122661 (1 week old)

This is all I could find on Outpost that are not young or poorly bumped for unsolds