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7 months old (resuggest with edited proof and better range)
I am brokering this hat for my friend
So lets give it a fresh price why don't we?
Proof:
Solds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24918285 (gatsby is bubbling and dragon is (obv) blizzardy, prancer's is burning. http://gyazo.com/6d64d56f0ebc8dffbd3f4d3873db59e1 . Prancers is 3 buds, gatsby is 1.13 buds. So blizz storm dragon + 1.13 buds + ~5 keys in sweets. 1.13 + 0.42 (5 keys) = 1.55 buds. So there is 1.45 left.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24979512 (sold with a Stormy Storm Shooter's Sola Topi ~1.15 buds for a mega strike battin a thousand taunt http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081836362?time=1423900800 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081836362?time=1423987200 )
Mini on the battin:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24513922 (sold for 3 buds 1 key ~ 3.08 buds)
So if we math. The Topi is 1.15 buds so that would mean to make up the remainder is 1.93 buds. But applying overpay (for the just the dragon) is 1.93x0.9 = 1.74 buds (rounded off)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22846826 (sold for 23 keys) (outlier 3 months old dammit)
Reason for price: 1.45 buds is the first sale (rounded to 1.5) Then 1.74 buds for the 2nd sale (rounded to 1.7)
I don't know if i did the second sale right so please leave CONSTRUCTIVE feedback
In general its best to avoid complex sales like these where you have to parse the value of the hat your pricing from hats sold alongside it.
I also see no evidence of 3 buds for that Battin mini, a closed trade does not mean they sold for the B/O. Their BP is poorly scanned so I can't tell what it actually sold for. I do however have these two sales;
Sold for Disco Beat down Luchadore (unpriced) + 2 keys + ~2 keys in sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24779432
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123517574?time=1423900800
Offered (and sold) alongside 3 keys for a Burning Stately Steel Toe (~2.5) = ~2.3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24766710
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123517574?time=1421913600
Dammit this is so hard to price........
But ok then 2.5x0.9= 2.25
farout ive spent more then 8 hours on both these suggestions
No, the taunt was offered on the Boot so there's no overpay. The reduced price comes from the keys that were added to the sale.
Oh ok. Well what, now
For your second sale, ~2.8 keys in sweets + 1 key was added by the dragonborn helmet seller for the stormy storm shooter's sola topi. The mini for the taunt seems off as well as kindly mini suggested by snowraptor.
The taunt:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25256724 Sold for 30 keys pure. Making this ~2.7 buds .
So that sale would be 2.7 buds - 1.15 buds - 0.3 buds = ~1.3 buds
More recent sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24765271 Sold for 1 bud + 4 keys + ~3.4 keys in sweets. Making this ~1.6 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24858467 Sold for Stormy Storm Brigade Helm(1.35 buds * 0.9 = ~1.2 buds)
I would go with a range of 1.2-1.6 buds here. Please resuggest at that thanks.