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Attempting a suggestion again..
Backpack.tf classifieds at time of suggesting-
1x 1.33
2x 1.66
6x 1.88
Unsolds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25206030 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25066002 7 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25150297 7 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25075492 2x 7 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25205970 1 day
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25159589 1.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25223866 1.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24367206 1.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24597899 1.66 x3
Contructive criticism appreciated :)
Unsolds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25154312 - Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25206030 - Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25066002 - Badly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25150297 - Badly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25075492 - badly bumped, has 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25205970 - Young
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25159589 - Badly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25223866 - Quicksold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24367206 - Poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24597899 - Very poorly bumped
Took out the sold, forgot to check ids.
Classifieds can't be used as the main proof, you need outpost sellers at 1.88
Hmm alright, I'll try and find some.
Edit: Found some sellers on outpost below 2 refined.
Steam Community's festive shotguns have also fallen. Last month the peaks would often touch $.35 but that has not happened for weeks now. New peaks are around $.30 on the graph for the last couple weeks.
Coolio, I guess this supports my suggestion although it's not technically usable evidence :P
I've sold a few at 2 ref in the last couple days, 2 ref should remain in the range from my experience
I could go either way on 1.66-2 ref or 1.88 ref. 1.66-2 is probably better, but this is still clearly better than the current range as the 2 ref sellers are struggling to sell.