Suggestion: Morning Glory Bonk Boy at 170.5–220 keys

Price Suggestion

Morning Glory Bonk Boy

Submitted Mon, 02 Mar 15 18:01:42 +0000 by ★ Baddy

91.89%

n/a

170.5–220 keys

~1400 keys

morning

136 votes up

12 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sat, 14 Mar 15 16:19:15 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24109956 - sold for aramanthine gibus (16 * 0.9 = 14.4) + 1 bud ~ 15.4, rounding to 15.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24290300 - sold for stare brainiac, ooze big country and aramanthine pencil (35 * 0.9) ~ 31.5, but there is an unsold at ~20

only (valid) sales i can find

mini for engie set

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24454072 - sold for mallard dread

mini for dread

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24448533 - sold for 35 buds

EDIT: the dread is now 30.5, but still makes it 20

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24250140 - sold along with sweets ~2 for morning glory bonk boy ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095756294?time=1419444360 ~ http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065206202?time=1419408000 )

Ballcap is ~14 (yes, it's clean) + sweets ~2, no overpay since offered, so the sale valuation is ~16

Maybe 15.5-16 or 16 flat would be better?

There is also another sale for clean burning pickle (~10), but that's another outlier, I guess.

There have been offers still around ~20, according to a previous owner

Worth mentioning that, for example, at the moment of the first sale it was 1 of 2 in existence, while now it is 1 of 5 in existence. I've had the same issue pricing MG honchos, take a look at it: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54bdedb9b98d88d67d8b477a

but the second sale is worth more.

They happened with a ~2 weeks gap.

There are currently opened 3 trades on OP for 1 month+ each and there are almost none offers, the highest out there is the frostbite specs which is ~16.75, so I see no reason for the ballcap sale to be an outlier.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24799746 - sold for massively duped CM el jefe ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24938300 )

Pretty sure that after doing a mini on it and applying overpay, it will also be somewhere near 16-17

Edit: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24717273 - this one seems to be sold for cauldron cannonball, which is slightly outdated at 16.5 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3217074480,817,5 )

This is being used to price the gibus. Can't then use the gibus to price this.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24250140 - the ballcap sale mentioned above was actually ballcap + ~5 for the bonk boy. Since the bonk was getting offered, that's ~19.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24759247 - duped moon jefe ~15 (mini below)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045857997?time=1421913600 - AF cannon + phantom ~20?

Sales at 15, 19, 20. It's possible that 15 is an outlier, and if someone can give solid justification for that, I won't mind a resuggestion. But this is close enough for me.

Mini for jefe ~15-18

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25047592 - b/o 18

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25248027 - 18? (probably more but capping off the b/o)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25250472 - true quicksell?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894?time=1419148800 - sale around ~16-16.5

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055762286?time=1423468800 - sale at ~15 (have a mini for the duped lucha in my thread)

Mini for cannon

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097645315?time=1422950400 - ~17