Counter Suggestion.

Classified ads at time of posting:

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Festive%20Wrench&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

4*15 refined

2*15.33 refined

1*16 refined (Has killstreak)

22*1 key (1 has killstreak)

Unsolds at 1 key:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24961560 (1 month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25246323 (3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25172671 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25269067 (1 day, young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25250053 (3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25279891 (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25273091 (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25261099 (2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25087003 (2 weeks)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25145640 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25240197 (4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25170933 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25238739 (4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25235106 (4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25276877 (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25265590 (1 day, young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24792958 (1 month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25273929 (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25172683 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25169580 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25248935 (3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24405100 (2 months)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25128163 (1 week, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25260126 (2 days, never bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25257193 (2 days, never bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25214321 (6 days, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25246196 (3 days, never bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25201575 (1 week, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25068883 (2 weeks, poorly bumped)

Unsold at 15.33 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25274426 (Young)

Sellers at 15 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25206836 (6 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25202614 (1 week old)

This is all I could find on Outpost that are valid