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Sale 1:
Sold for Morning Glory Front Runner* = 8 buds (no overpay since hat sold in pure)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25317464
http://i.imgur.com/Ur5XKl9.png
Sale 2: (invalid sale)
Involved in a bulk deal for a Poisoned Shadows Executioner
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24115697
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019710414?time=1421882115 → http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019710414?time=1421913600
Sale 3:
Sold for 3 buds + Australium Scattergun ([49.5/13]*0.9) = 3 + 3.34 = 6.34 (rounding to 6.3 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24836698
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072165163?time=1422685455 → http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072165163?time=1422691200
Sale 4:
Sold for Australium Scattergun ([44.5/12]*0.9) + 1 bud (1) + 46 keys (46/12) = 3.3375 + 1 + 3.8333 = 8.17 (rounding to 8.2 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24890953
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065713150?time=1424387453 → http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065713150?time=1424419200
Sale 5: (invalid sale, unpriced hat)
Sold for TF Logo Tipped Lid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25204897
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974631996?time=1425536084 → http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974631996?time=1425542400
Sale 6: (invalid sale, unpriced hat)
Sold for Scorching Flames Belgian Detective
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25301530
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109369803?time=1425761929 → http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109369803?time=1425801600
Mini-suggestion for Morning Glory Front Runner*:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24823549 - Sold for 8 buds (only other sale apart from Sale 1)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24835712 - Had a collecting offer of 8 buds
~Valuing this at 8 buds.
Support-proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24890953 - Rejected offer of 7 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25204897 - Rejected offer of 90 keys (7.5 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24890953 - Apparently been offered 8.5 buds
Notes:
For valuing the buds and Australiums, I'm using the price at the time of sale.
Due to the support-proofs provided, it indicates that anything below 7.5 buds is an outlier and thus, calling Sale 3 an outlier.
Conclusion:
Sales at 8, 6.3, 8.2 buds, along with the plenty of support-proof suggesting that this taunt is close to or even more than the 8 buds region.
Taking a final range of 8-8.2 buds.
Feel free to support/counter my suggestion!
I doubt it will chance anything at all, but i just feel like to comment your sale 2: In the deal i made for the P.S Exe we valued the taunt 6.5 buds. Im not saying you are wrong with the numbers, i just wanted to clear it out cause i saw (invalid sale) ;-)
Not a problem at all, thanks for clearing that sale up, but that sale is almost outdated (~2 months old) and prices were pretty different back then, compared to the more recent sales and offers. Nevertheless, appreciate your input. :)