Suggestion: Searing Plasma Cloud Crasher at 20.9–27.5 keys

Price Suggestion

~27 keys

searing

22 votes up

8 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Wed, 11 Mar 15 08:15:25 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Sale 1:

Sold for 2.5 buds pure, buds were 12 keys at the time. (3 - 0.5 = 2.5)

http://i.imgur.com/S87au4k.png

Sale 2: (outlier)

Sold for a Kill-a-Watt War Pig (3.35*0.9 = 3.015) rounding to 3 buds

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084282202?time=1425801600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084282202?time=1425884400

Sale 3:

Sold for a gifted Searing Plasma Détective Noir + 5 keys (buds were 12 keys at the time)

[2.05*0.9*~0.8] + [5/12] = ~1.89 (rounding to 1.9 buds)

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084282202?time=1425715200

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084282202?time=1425801600

Notes:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24469723 - B/O of 3 buds and unsold for TWO MONTHS

Conclusion:

Sales at 2.5, 3, 1.9 buds. Due to the B/O of 3 buds not selling for 2 whole months with minimal offers, I am calling Sale 2 an outlier, and taking the final range as 1.9 - 2.5 buds.

How'd you get the value for the Searing Noir? Because it's gifted, it's more than likely worth less than the clean version - you should provide a sale or two on the Noir to show its value :P Otherwise this is good.

I'd be calling that an easy outlier then, 3 is a lot closer to 2.5 than that supposed 1.9 is anyways.

Should I resuggest with 2.5-3?

I multiplied it times 0.8 after the initial 0.9 for overpay. Which took it from 2.05 to 1.64 before applying overpay. Closely to 1.64, this exact one is on the market with a B/O of 1.5 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25324678, and also I found another sale:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084282202?time=1416729600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084282202?time=1419148800

It sold for a stormy lucky shot (1.5 buds) and some stranges and cosmetics