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Bzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.
Curious to know how this effect still exists to this day.
1 out of 1 in existence. Hasn't been resold on the market for nearly two months.
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Sales
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24608646 - Sold for a TF2 Logo El Jefe (Outdated - 3.2) + 2 Buds + DBD Pot (1.2*)
(3.2 + 1.2) * 0.9 = 3.96 + 2 = 5.96 > 6 Buds.
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060976608?time=1421136000
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24589734 - Sold for 6 Buds Pure.
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045402762?time=1421116547
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Mini Suggestions
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El Jefe: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24483114
Sold for 6 Keys + An Orbiting Fire Bonk Boy (Duped - 3)
3 * 0.9 = 2.7 + 0.5 = 3.2 Buds.
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086901206?time=1422864000
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Bonk Boy: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25250663 - Sold for 24 Keys + Blizzard Storm Hound Dog
Taking Buyout Constraint of 3 Buds / 36 Keys.
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Disco Beat Down Pot: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24610963 - Instantly resold it for 1 Bud, 2 Keys. Taking 1.2 Buds.
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And we all float on... okay~
Proof Correction on the first sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24608646 - Sold for a TF2 Logo El Jefe (Outdated - 3.2) + 6 Buds + DBD Pot (1.2*)
(3.2 + 1.2) * 0.9 = 3.96 + 6 = 9.96 > 10 Buds.
Proof: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060976608?time=1421136000
Taking as an outlier, since it doesn't correlate with the current offers, there has been only one offer close to 10 buds that was unpriced at the time, and it's certain this person won't be selling for quite a while, since the last offer was nearly a month ago.
o.o
Completely wrong again...
Bought for 6 from the unboxer and sold for 6 pure+logo jefe+dbd pot in 6 hours
Proof:
http://gyazo.com/01c59a61a245a241197d05dda96f1933
I didnt sold it for 2 buds+logo jefe+pot...i sold it for 6 (six) buds+logo jefe+dbd pot lol
Ps. also at the time the hat wasnt retired...imo is too soon to make a suggestion, is retired and 1of1, imo it can go for x2 what i sold it for
Actually, I went back in the past month and I haven't seen an offer above 6 buds (that wasn't unpriced at the time) on the Ushanka.
Proof:
1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24831822
>No Offers directed at the Flies Ushanka.
2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24941158
> Flies Antlers (14.5) for the Ushanka + Purple Energy Hood (11.8) (Assuming she wanted flies)
(14.5 / 0.9) - 11.8 = 4.3 Buds.
> 3 Buds Pure Offer.
> Deep Cover Operator w/ Molten Mallard (Was priced about two or three weeks after this offer. 10 after overpay.)
3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25195416 (Latest Closed Trade. 2 Weeks Old.)
> No offers.
The closest thing to your sale was a 4th Gen effect and that was over a month ago. The Mallard has been recently priced, so I can bet there were some skepticism at the time of the offer. There has hardly been offers on this in the past month and they've been underneath 6 buds for the most part.
And on your sale for correction: 10 Buds. I'm taking it as an outlier anyways, because it doesn't seem to correlate with offers at all and it looks like it won't be selling for a while. Probably out-dating this proof. Unless a certain someone wants to step forward and show there has been some private offers circulating closer to your 10 bud price, then I'm afraid that I have to take six for this based on what public offers I've been seeing.
ok, but state that it went sold for 2 buds+logo jefe+dbd pot is still wrong, also there might be private offers that both me and you aren't aware off, might wait for alterr sell it again or prove he had offers around 10 or more
I'm not waiting on this. He had his sales up for about 1.5 months now and I highly doubt he'll sell unless he gets some outrageous offer that he can majorly profit off of. (Just like what he did with his Purple Energy Ushanka and sold it to Bob for a 35 bud unusual hat.)
Waiting any longer for him to sell will likely invalidate the current evidence. (Btw, I cannot edit my initial post. Yet, I acknowledge your sale.)
Offers =/= sales. Or even a reason to price a hat. I can confirm that the sold price you have listed is terribly wrong and a lack of offers/low offers is no means to price a hat. when it comes down to it if someone wants this hat they will have to pay a price that im happy with, your opinions are irrelevant. I have had many private offers. I sold the PE for 35. Ive had offers ~15 on blizz. Obviously offers =/= sales but regardless. Why rush into pricing a hat with poor evidence. No rush mate the world will keep turning with an unpriced hat. Wait for a more recent (post retirement) sale. As for the comments against flies, flies is a bit of a niche market you either love them or hate them. Yes offers are slow on most flies hats but that doesnt mean theyre worth less. Im sure more toyotas sell every day then lamborghinis but that doesnt make them better or worse than eachother.
Offers are used to pinpoint outliers. That's why they're normally used in the proof to determine outliers. They're not considered as the main proof, but supporting evidence. I never once tried to declare that they were sales. I only determined the price if they were accepted.
From the offers I've seen publicly on your trade, they haven't really been more than six for the most part, with only one exception of the Mallard Deep Cover Operator. And sure, you may have received offers for 15 on your Blizzardy Storm, that doesn't matter. I've seen numerous Mass Flies effects go for less than Blizzardy on some hats. We don't base off of tiers on here, we base off of proof.
And the evidence isn't insufficient nor poor proof. There are two sales that collaborate a price. Your PE sale is actually an outlier, because I also was looking at that and seen it was hovering around the 15~20 bud mark on offers. You bought it with a Sunbeams Pyromancers and sold it for Bob's KE. 17 and 35 seems way too large for a range and it needs to be determined what is an outlier, especially since Bob normally collects hats. I applaud you for your sale and you can sell it for whatever the fuck you want, but we have to take consideration what proof is currently available.
Since you probably won't accept the hat for low prices and you have received an offer for 10, it's probably best to resuggest for 10.
I would say report the sales as they are and make a range 6-10. Also the 1st sale for 6 buds looks more outlierish than the sale for 10 buds.