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Well, this hat brings luck to me.
Sale 1
https://imgur.com/Lk9UwIw - Sold for a Spec Big Kill (Big Kill's BO is 9 keys) (Outlier)
Sale 2
https://imgur.com/RZVgQ5n - Sold with tons of items for a Molten Mallard Caribbean Conqueror but BO of 19 keys = 1.7 buds
Worth to note sale happened when bud = 11 keys
Feel free to counter / support my proofs.