This needs a drop badly.

Classified ads at time of posting:

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Festive%20Flame%20Thrower&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

2*10.66 refined

1*10.88 refined

14*11 refined

1*11.33 refined

1*11.55 refined

13*12 refined

Unsolds at 12 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25273896 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25309673 (Has a spell, 4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25325599 (3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25178667 (2 weeks)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25349383 (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25285587 (6 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25243090 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25344065 (1 day, young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25339872 (1 day, young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25312271 (4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25309078 (4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25277035 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25284683 (6 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24770459 (Has 2 spells, 1 month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25265825 (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25045088 (3 weeks, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25331443 (2 days, never bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22325305 (6 months, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25311776 (4 days, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25017567 (1 month, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25209153 (1 week, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25153977 (2 weeks, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25288299 (6 days, never bumped)

Unsold at 11.55 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25283613 (6 days)

Unsold at 11.33 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25234241 (6 days, poorly bumped)

Sellers at 11 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25344506 (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25282714 (6 days, poorly bumped)

Seller at 10.66 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25320472 (3 days old)

Seller at 10.33 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25348566 (Young)

This is all I could find on Outpost that are valid