Saw someone trying to price this with sellers recently.

Giving it a shot with sales

Sale 1:

Sold for 14 buds pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25306055 the trade post

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048694198?time=1426230000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048694198?time=1426230000 after

-> 14 buds

Sale 2:

sold with 12 buds for a scorching el jefe (its duped, but also 1/1)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035520930?time=1423123200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035520930?time=1423555200 after

the Jefe was 38 at the time of this trade, recently rose to 70 buds

Even when pricing the Jefe at 38, this is clearly an outlier.

Sale 3:

involved in a golden pan sale (105 buds + pro ks aussie rocketlauncher + scorching tossle -> golden pan)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098141661?time=1426662000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098141661?time=1426748400 after

not gonna use, bleh

Sale 4:

sold for a duped sunbeams noble amassment of hats (~17)

(see tons of minis for this duped hat)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094714199?time=1424332800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094714199?time=1424419200 after

(other inventory changes do not seem related to this trade)

17*0.9= 15.3

->15.3 buds

Sale 5:

Sold for a cloudy moon killers kabuto (~17.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019444465?time=1423900800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019444465?time=1424160000 after

17.5*0.9 = 15.75

-> 15.8 buds

Sale 6:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22911410

Offered on a haunted ghosts Brotherhood of Arms (~21*), added two max's (6,4)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036267748?time=1425628800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036267748?time=1425715200 after

* the BoA is outdated, but no sales (apart from this one) have happened.

http://backpack.tf/item/1954826071 last sale.

Cant find the other one.

will use this to reprice the ghosts BoA

Mini duped noble:

(found different values, just putting them all out here)

1.1:

Sold for circling peace sign antlers (~17) + miami night executioner (~3.5) + 1 bud

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049609745?time=1426575600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049609745?time=1426834800 after

0.9*(17+3.5) +1 = ~19.5

1.2:

Sold for a sulphurous HWNN (~7.25), pfetti luchadore(~4), TW virtual reality (3), a bills hat (~0.3) and 20 keys (~2)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094714199?time=1424419200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094714199?time=1424764800 after

0.9*(7.25+4+3) + 2.3 = ~15.1

1.3: (supportive)

sold for a duped cloudy moon tyrants helm (~12.5) + 2 max's (~6.4)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115550263?time=1426402800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115550263?time=1426057200 after

(buds and keys have different histories, werent involved)

0.9*12.5 +6.4 = ~17.7

should be lower, because the tyrant was duped, but it supports that the value should be between 15 and 19.

(15+19.5)/2 = 17.25

Taking 17

Mininimi fetti luchadore: sold for duped gfetti beak (~4)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352?time=1425196800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352?time=1425283200 after

outdated at 4.1, but has a B/O of 40 keys, taking 4

minimini TW virtual: outdated at 3.3

Sold for a TaW virtual reality (~2.55)+ 5 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059807821?time=1405926000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059807821?time=1424851200 after

[buyers backpack/histories match, should be correct despite the huge history gap]

2.55+0.5=3.05

Taking 3.

miniminimini Taw virtual:

1:1ed to a dbd slug (2.55)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1425110400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1425024000 after

Im getting a mini-headache from these minis

found a duped one with recent sales, but theres plenty of non-duped evidence, so not including those.

Putting this at 14-15.8

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3