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Themed cuz it's themed, k?
I only found 3 histories, 2 of them haven't been exchanged in a while.
Currently on classifieds for 11 keys.
Sale 1:
The Item: http://backpack.tf/item/3618318212
The Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25168248 (B/O 11 keys)
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054980861?time=1424794266
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997928705?time=1425143744
Sold for a (Non-Craftable) Professional Killstreak Sniper Rifle Kit.
Gonna use SCM for this: $38.70 ($33.65), $42.50 ($36.95), $50.00 ($43.47) & $41.45 ($36.04). Average is $37.27 (USD).
Keys are ~$2.40 on SCM.
15.52 keys (Rounded to 15.5 keys)
And because it can't go over the B/O, this sale is at 11 keys. That rule...
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Sale 2 {outlier}:
(See Mini#2)
The Item: http://backpack.tf/item/3618318212
The Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25271365
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997928705?time=1425659510
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061803553?time=1426210872
This + 3 keys + Taunt: I See You sold for a Blizzardy Storm Dragonborn Helmet + Kill-a-Watt Ol' Geezer.
3/12 = 0.25
(1.33/16.17)/12 = 0.006 (That 0.006 means sooo much)
(1.4+1.65)-(0.25+0.006)*0.9 = 2.81 (Rounded to 2.8 buds)
Keys were 16-16.33 (16.17): http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54eccfc8ba8d88f9048b49ed
Buds were 12 keys: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54dbfe63b98d8841718b4706
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Minis:
#1 - Geezer: http://backpack.tf/item/2974448963 - Sold for a Terror-Watt Scotsman's Stove Pipe.
1.65 buds. Rest of maths located in Sale 2
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049623970?time=1424849202
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043992035?time=1424512562
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As always, please try and keep the comments relevant, please don't make comment comprised only of "upvote" or "downvote". Counter-proof / supportive proof is always appreciated!