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Ooooh.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25389064 Sold for Burning Modest (22.75)
22.75 * 0.9 = 20.475 (rounding to 20.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25379371
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039731024?time=1426316400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039731024?time=1426402800
*shrug*
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25254507 Sold for 184 keys
= ~20.5
Let it ride.
Themed cuz it's a fire hat for pyroThemed because Mexico is hotI'm noticing a lot of cherry picking going on with price suggestions lately.
I bought this hat on Jan 24, 2015 for 20 buds ($500 Paypal) + Blizzardy Storm Stormin' Norman (6.87 buds) + Roboactive Triboniophorus Tyrannus (9.15) buds. Proof upon request.
The Norman is heavily outdated.
The sale itself is over two months old and therefore shouldn't be used according to our rules.
There are multiple B/Os at 25 buds.
I'm not cherry-picking, that sounds like an outlier and is unusable regardless. Thankyou though.
2 months and 3 days? Even discounting the Norman and Tryrannus 50% it's still more than 20.5 buds.
Which, as I believe I stated rather clearly, makes it an outlier considering the B/Os on the market.
And yes, outdated is outdated.
You have 1 real sale, one you have no idea what it sold for, and one clearly noted quick sale.
The only one currently on the market:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25475935
200 keys pure (21 buds) offered - passed on offer
22 buds pure offered - passed on offer
That's all conjecture. Both are more proven than your sale. Which is an outlier given the B/Os on the market.
There's no proof of the 22 bud offer on that trade, 200 keys is, as you've yourself valued it, close enough to this.
What B/O's on the market? the one I posted is the only one on the market here or on Outpost. 2 of the 3 that you posted had B/O's of 25 pure. The other is clearly marked as a quick sale.
Also your math on the quick sold flamenco is off. On the day it was posted with a B/O of 200 keys, buds were valued at 12 keys (200/12 =17.5 bud asking price) fast forward to the sale date and buds were valued at 9.5 keys (184/9.5 = 19.36 buds). 20.5 buds is over the selling price and quite a bit over the easily outlying 17.5 bud B/O.
Do you go with the keys or go with the buds? If you're going with buds, 20.5 exceeds the B/O on the quick sale and is not useable.
Once again, you have a sale 20.5, a ???, and a quick sale at 19.36.