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~23 keys
ooze
Unusual Bear Necessities The Ooze
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Determined a new outlier. Wanted to resuggest.

However, I cannot resuggest in buds. so, key suggestion is go!

Calculated buds to keys at the time of the sale or at the time of pricing of the relevant hat.


still completing/fixing/blabla the suggester using only 1 sale. This also shows the difference is more severe than initially suggested.

[I got complaints about my range being too close to the previous values, which given the circumstances is a wrong idea]


Sale 1:


sold for 5x bills hat ( 14.5) + strange allfather (~5) + strange huntsman (~4) + poop pool party (~3.15) + allied healing done part (~1.45) + 7 keys pure

http://i.imgur.com/4obHvtU.png

0.9*(14.5+5+3.15+1.45+4) +7 = ~32.3, rounding to 32 keys


-> 32 keys


Sale 2:


Sold for a lvl 1 max head (~28.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044418309?time=1426884336 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044418309?time=1427180400 after

28.5 *0.9 = ~26


-> 26 keys -> [outlier]


Sale 3:


sold + c9 brainstormer + ghastly ghost jr swagswatter + 5 keys for a scorching wetworks

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122976167?time=1424657296 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122976167?time=1424678400 after

not using this because:

1. its used to price the wet works

2. hightier hats shouldnt be used to price low tier hats.


Sale 4:


Sold for a DaD professors peculiarity (~4.25) + a spec ks carbonado flamethrower (~1.5 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037171335?time=1423433158 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037171335?time=1423123200 after

history bear: http://backpack.tf/item/3137810025

history professor: http://backpack.tf/item/3272150231

history carbo: http://backpack.tf/item/1712796088

bud:key ratio peculiarity: 9

0.9*(4.25*9+1.5)=35.7

-> 36 keys


Sale 5:


sold for TaW buckaroo (~1.15) + 2buds pure + BMOC (~0.5) + 2 bills hats (~0.7) pro ks genuine sharp dresser (~0.9) + 17ref pure (~0.1) + a ton of low value sweets.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105949351?time=1422691200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105949351?time=1423018941 after

priced at 4.8 buds with bud:key ratio 1:12


-> 57.6 keys outlier


Sale 6:


Sold for a sulphurous l'inspecteur (~3.5)+ 1 bud

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105949351?time=1421913600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105949351?time=1422000000 after

Key:bud ratio 12

0.9*(3.5*12) + 12 = ~49.8


-> 50 keys outlier


Minis:


Mini carbo:

http://imgur.com/M6abjnO

considering the peak sale as an outlier, averagely sells for ~3€ (~1.4 ish keys, rounding to 1,5)

no cheaper B/Os on outpost that I can find

Taking 1.5


mini genuine sharp:

http://imgur.com/CYBWEHv

consistent sales around 17€, 2 low outliers.

17€ = ~8 keys/1bud

2 B/Os below 8keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25478800 7keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25481928 7keys

Taking 7


Buds or keys?

4 sales (3 used for the range) in buds or generally buds priced items, 2 sales in keys or key priced items. Even though the most recent sale was in pure keys, this should be priced in buds since the majority of the suggestion consists of buds/buds priced items.

this does not apply anymore, I cannot suggest in buds


range:

sales at:

26

32

36

50

58


52 and 58 are old sales which have a significantly higher value due to their key:bud ratio in that time. I therefore consider them outliers.

Final range: 26-36 keys


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3