Countering the suggestion based on B/Os with actual sales

the suggestion which, surprisingly, is still open

Sale 1:

Sold + a bud (~8) for a GE frenchmans beret (~32)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068657420?time=1425688546 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068657420?time=1425715200 after

(32-8)*0.9 = ~22 keys

-> 22 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 2 buds pure (~22)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068657420?time=1424764800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068657420?time=1424851200 after

Buds@11keys at time of the sale

-> 22 keys

Sale 3:

sold with a duped blizzardy charmers chapeau for a DBD el jefe (~52)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069349916?time=1424419200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069349916?time=1424547314 after

Cant get a clear mini on the charmers (all histories I found were very iffy, only clear trades I found were either bulk sales or a fast sale for 10 keys, making this an outlier)

Not using this one for the range.

Sale 4:

sold for a professional killstreak sniper rifle (~9) + 10 keys pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129234654?time=1426316400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129234654?time=1427430665 after

-> 19 keys

Sale 5:

Sold with TaW law (~105) for a ghosts el jefe (~72)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035690179?time=1426316400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035690179?time=1426299774 after

Needless to say, I cannot use this sale. Neither the ghost jefe nor the law are outdated. Maybe this sale made more sense before the bud-> key development.

Sale 6:

Quicksold for 13 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065331076?time=1427526000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065331076?time=1427612400 after

-> 13 keys OUTLIER

Sale 7:

sold with a bud (~10) for a vivid nappers resprite (~31) + 5 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085116555?time=1426143600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085116555?time=1426316400 after

Histories:

Jefe: http://backpack.tf/item/1351050376

nappers http://backpack.tf/item/3402424128

bud http://backpack.tf/item/104943982

key#1 http://backpack.tf/item/3057599466

key#2 http://backpack.tf/item/3137125544

key#3 http://backpack.tf/item/3464784627

key#4 http://backpack.tf/item/2670723462

key#5 http://backpack.tf/item/3280223617

Pure difference: 10-5 = 5

(31-5)*0.9 = 23.9

-> 24 keys

mini sniper:

http://imgur.com/o26yrSn

some outliers, but most sales go for around 18-20€, averaging to 19

= ~9 keys

Taking 9

Usable sales at:

24

13

the sale for 13 happened in 2 days and is significantly lower than the rest, considering it an outlier

Final range: 19-24

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3