Stormy modest - needs an update badly"

- Polars response to a previous suggestion, complete with one sale to start off with!

[credits to polar for sale 1]

so lets give it a try

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold for a Gfetti samur-eye (~19.5) + stormy tin topi (~10) + 6 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011135143?time=1426748400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011135143?time=1426834800 after

0.9*(19.5+10) +6 = ~32.55, rounding to 33.

-> 33 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for a bubbling mongolian (10) + flies dread knot (10) + duped NnB mullet (10.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085664659?time=1426356537 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085664659?time=1426402800 after

0.9*(10+10+10.5) = 27.45, rounding to 27

-> 27 keys

Sale 3:

Quicksold for a Gfetti capotain (~16) + strange blood banker (~0.8)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122986114?time=1425141906 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122986114?time=1425196800 after

launchers were not involved in the trade.

16.8*0.9 = ~15

Invalid, quicksold and an outlier

Sale 4:

Sold for blizzardy stahl (~31.5) + KaW marauder (~29) + blizzardy billycock (~17)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049949509?time=1426316400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049949509?time=1426402800 after

0.9*(31.5+29+17) = 69.75, rounding to 70

exceeds all other sales by far, counting as outlier.

Sale 5:

Sold for 2 bud (~22) + 13 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081514758?time=1426057200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081514758?time=1426230000 after

buds@11 keys at time of the sale

Histories:

modest: http://backpack.tf/item/676903179

bud#1: http://backpack.tf/item/91985776

bud#2: http://backpack.tf/item/262811102

key#1: http://backpack.tf/item/3539037719

key#2: http://backpack.tf/item/2874762221

key#3: http://backpack.tf/item/2846767240

key#4: http://backpack.tf/item/3251636433

Key#5: http://backpack.tf/item/3132568889

key#6: http://backpack.tf/item/3263855527

key#7: http://backpack.tf/item/3318826083

key#8: http://backpack.tf/item/3467674357

key#9: http://backpack.tf/item/3539037718

key#10: http://backpack.tf/item/3481901075

key#11: http://backpack.tf/item/2266649350

key#12: http://backpack.tf/item/2353352522

key#13: http://backpack.tf/item/3539037719

22+13 = 35

-> 35 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for strange pro ks kritzkrieg (~25) + 4 keys

Sold pretty fast, histories are tricky to track

http://backpack.tf/item/676903179 for http://backpack.tf/item/660016970 + http://backpack.tf/item/3215698239 + http://backpack.tf/item/3168791082 + http://backpack.tf/item/2285426641 + http://backpack.tf/item/2762286611

25*0.9 + 4 = ~26.5 (rounding to 27)

-> 27 keys

Minis

mini topi:

Sold for orb fire boron beanie (10)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128481091?time=1426143600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128481091?time=1426277359 after

Taking 10

mini mongolian:

sold for orbfire football helmet (11.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031733310?time=1428044400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031733310?time=1428155003 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23878969 helmet had a BO of 10

Taking 10

mini knot:

sold for smoking geisha boy (~10)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128148404?time=1427785200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128148404?time=1427871600 after

taking 10

mini mullet:

sold + smoking geisha (~10) for duped steaming noble (~22)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085664659?time=1426427711 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085664659?time=1426662000 after

22-10 = 12

also has a (young) B/O of 9: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25589119

averaging (9+12)/2 = 10.5

Taking 10.5

mini pro kritz:

http://imgur.com/E96Atse ignoring the high and low outlier, averagely sells for ~55€ (~25keys)

taking 25

Sales:

15(QS)

given these values, 70 is a clear outlier. 15 was a QS and far lower than the rest, considering outlier as well.

Others I found are all duped or unclear sales. since theres enough clean sales, Im sticking to this.

Final range: 27-35

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3