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~9 keys
kill-a-watt
Unusual Pure Tin Capotain Kill-a-Watt
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!! Counter-manipulation !!

(That manipulator though, pricing his hat at 25 keys when he bought his for less than 13 keys)

12 in existence. Not any sellers on OP (the manipulator is selling for 22 keys on classifieds, gl...)


Histories found with recent sales :

http://backpack.tf/item/2534087976 2 recent sales (could only trace the last one)

http://backpack.tf/item/3376466802 Tons of recent sales on that one


#1 sale (credits to the manipulator)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25333828 B/O 12.66 keys. Gone after 2 days -> not a QS.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121375548?time=1426402800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121375548?time=1426834800

1 : 1 with a Steaming Fez (the other new items don't have a matching history)

15*0.9 = 14 keys but the offer can't exceed the B/O of 13 keys


#2 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25168252 Instasold for 9 keys (not so an outlier though)


#3 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25106410

Sold for pro KS Blutsauger http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3531148898,36,11

Average of 35€ on SCM at the time -> 15.5 keys -> 14 keys after overpay high-end


#4 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25039202

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142587029?time=1424073600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142587029?time=1424246400

Some keys + items turning into a pro KS Blut. Regarding the sale #3 : keys + items -> Tin capotain -> Blutsauger

Tin capotain bought for 9 keys + Bill's (histories match) -> 9 + 3*0.9 (at the time) = 12 keys


#5 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25134780 "QS" for 10 keys - gone after 3 days !


#6 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25181481 (relist of http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25168532 )

Sold after a day for 10 keys


#7 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25195331 B/O 13 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160986428?time=1424851200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160986428?time=1424937600

Sold for 9 keys low-end


#8 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25270185 B/O 11 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110560868?time=1425283200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110560868?time=1425542400

Sold with a Bill's + 4 keys for an OF Cowl -> x + 3 + 4 = 24 -> x = 17 keys outlier regarding the B/O


Conclusion:

Cancer-tier hat, the second history shows that the hat goes from backpacks to backpacks within days because hard to sell without making huge QS.

Setting a range of 9 - 14 keys


Any comments are welcome.

    Agreeing with Jacob, 13-14 looks better here.

    9 key sale went without a bump

      Well, as the #7 sale was also at 9 keys and regarding the multiple B/Os at 10-11, I was considering that the #3 one wasn't so an outlier.

      Should I resuggest?