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~32 keys
lantern
Unusual Carouser's Capotain Flaming Lantern
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5 month old price, 1st suggestion 1st resuggestion


Sales:


Sale 1:

27 / 28 th of February.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075368577?time=1425024000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075368577?time=1425110400

Histories show that: steaming pom pom + C. Heart mullet + 2 keys for Flaming Lantern Capotain

ie (16.5 + 17) * 0.9 + 2 = 30.15 + 2 = 32.15 keys,

however B/O on trade was 20keys


so sale 1, is capped at 20 keys


Sale 2:

Capotain on same day went from GentlemaNope to me for a blizz pampered pyro. 1 for 1.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075368577?time=1425110400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075368577?time=1425110400

Price of pampered on bp.tf is clearly outdated, as mini time:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25323567 selling for 20 keys for 3 weeks, no luck.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24364501 selling for 18 keys for 3 months, no luck.

taking 18-20, so 19 mid range so 19 * 0.9 = 17.1 ie ~ 17 keys.


Sale 2 is therefore 17 keys.


Sale 3:

Mine, today.

I was contacted by http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198019007046/ a capotain collector, regarding my lantern capotain outpost trade.

He was willing to do 30 keys, but as they would have been untradable for a week from market, He offered to buy it for SCM straight up, 30 keys. He agreed to take tax. I took SCM key price (GBP for me) x 30, and thats what I would be receiving. http://imgur.com/m7Bubhu

I got £50, he paid £57.50, since I only got 50, that is the price I will use. Key price today was £1.67, so just to check again, 50 / 1.67 = 30.


Sale 3: 30 keys.


In conclusion over 2+ months there have been 3 sales I could trace at 17, 30 and 32 keys, but capped at 20 due to B/O. Because 30 is the newest and cleanest sale, but you can't ignore 2 sales within 3 keys of value to each other, and acting on Jacobmeister's advice, I will use all 3 in my range of 17-30 keys

First suggestion, help and criticism appreciated. (I discussed the validity of using SCM sales with d0, as I was unsure what to do, seeing as rules say you should tend to keep clear of them due to tax.) If anyone knows how to dig up old chats, I will happily show becks offering me 30 keys before going through to SCM.

    well, its basically pure, and possibly the last sale of this hat for a while, seeing as it went to a collector, and sale 1, would have been 32, were it not for b/o, so why would 30 be an outlier?