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This hat is too cool for school.
3rd Time Lucky
Proof 1
Sold for DBD dragonborn(32.9)(price at the time)+ TS Maxes (39 keys at time according to backpack.tf graph) + bud (14 keys at that time)+ 6 Keys = 91.9 X 0.9 = 82.71 or 83 keys
http://s1296.photobucket.com/user/rmckenzie1980/media/TRADE-HISTORY_zps90a9bb9c.jpg.html
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24763407
Conclusion – 83 keys
Proof 2
Sold for Miami nights Galvanised Gibus: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25202172
I will do mini on the Gibus because all other gibuses were either quicksold or have no price:
http://i.imgur.com/Rio1U0v.png – he is selling for 50 keys on backpack.tf and outpost – quickselling
Other quickseller http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24806358 keys were 13 at the time so it was 52 keys
No price - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25546941 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25562650
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25342242
One seller at a lot higher at 80: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25593841
Mini on Gibus –
Sold for kill-a-watt antlers - http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/649357
scroll down to 4 weeks ago. Antlers =
Lowest seller is 105 key and other sellers are 125 – 140 as you can see from price below.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5521bed0b98d8808378b471f
105 X 0.9 = 94.5 or 95 keys
Therefore if the gibus is 95 then it would be 95 X 0.9 = 85.5 < 86
Sold for http://i.imgur.com/bSmNi4s.png
DBD Gibus = 120 key (most sellers) (Barst probably go it cheap), Soldering Sensei = 24 key, bud = 6 key.
Time to do some maths rearranging equations
120 = (6 + 24 + ? ) X 0.9
120 / 0.9 = 30 + ?
133.333 = 30 + ?
103 = Gibus
And I no some are going to complain about how that is not correct and how trading does not work that way, but I have spent so long working it out I am not going to delete it. Haters gonna hate.
Conclusion = 80 to 103 keys
Proof 3
I bought mine for: http://imgur.com/XmrkUjB
The person who I bought from has sold most of the stuff already but here is the backpack anyway: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182
History of rocket launcher : http://backpack.tf/item/2553781450
History of thirst blood: http://backpack.tf/item/3018063347
History of brown bomber: http://backpack.tf/item/1944563013
Thirst blood = 19 keys, rocket launcher = 62 keys, other botkiller wrench and rocket launcher = 4 keys, eyelander = 1 key, grenade launcher = 1.26 key, bandana = 1 key, rest = 1.5 key altogether = 89.76 X 0.9 = 80.74 or 81 keys if you round to the nearest whole number
In the trade he was selling for 70 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25568727
Conclusion – 70 keys
Proof 4
Sold for an unusual burning sober stuntman:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25411467 this is where the seller (debug.mode) has it but if you click on the history of the item you can see it was sold to -hg- Lieutenant CAT ☯ and in return debug.mode got an unusual Brown Bomber: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25420732 - look at the history of the bomber.
Burning sober stuntman = 85 X 0.9 = 76.5 keys because it was last priced 10 months ago and both sellers have a buyout of 85 keys =
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Sober%20Stuntman/Tradable/Craftable/13
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25583311
Also when it was last priced it was going for 67 to 83.75 keys
This was taken from my other price suggestion, and before you ask, I put this up first and then the other guy literally stole the links from my trade and then made his/her own suggestion from it.
Conclusion - 77 to 85 keys
Proof 5
Sold for a frostbite frontier djustice = look at the history of both bomber and djustice and you can see they were swapped by I'm Coso and Mayor of Pyroland: http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/774430
Djustice has no price so here is a mini:
Seller at 99 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25460704
Seriously there is only one trackable frontier on the market and it was mostly bought and sold with CSGO items.
So I will say 99 X 0.9 = 89 keys but will not count it and it is only here cause I CBA to take it out.
Conclusion = 89 keys
Proof 6
Sold for a molten mallard conjurers cowl: http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/694964 = 92.8 X 0.9 = 83.52 < 84
If you want to check scroll down till you reach the molten mallard cowl and the disco beat down bomber and check the history of each.
Conclusion = 84 keys
Conclusion – Final
This hat should be from 70 keys (the lowest someone wanted) to 86 keys, which is the highest in the miami gibus trade in the one that does not include rearranging the equation.
Also, if you think the complicated gibus trade and the frontier is valid, please put it in the comments below.
I have no idea if this will be accepted, but we will get there until this god tier hat finally has its real value.
Any problems or things to add to the trade please put in the comments below.
Thanks for reading
M1LL3R
Just some advice, next time you make a suggestion, please don't make a giant wall of text. We're here for the numbers.
Especially for someone that is exhausted, the wall of text actually hurts my eyes right now.
Alongside, your concluding prices cannot be ranges. They have to be flat prices.
sorry, i am not that good with things that are not giant walls of text.
it's easy, just put your proof and your math, no need for opinions and whatnot
things like "this hat should be worth x" is pretty hated on bp,tf
flat prices? D:
what do you mean?
that's what i wanna know. i have no idea what he means by flat prices, this is already a flat (no decimals)
he could mean a single number, idk :/
lets w8 for more people
Now i am really confused, and thanks for the advice cause i am not very good at suggesting but I will take it for next time I make a suggestion :) And yeah that makes sense
I guess he meant when OP posted 70-81 keys, and 77-85 keys in the minis, or at least where i think so. He probably wants a single number to avoid the confusion.
There is a suggestion going on for stuntman at 55 keys, and this was used to price that. And that's being used to price this. Okay.
But your suggestion seems pretty solid apart form the issue with formatting and using double overpay for minis. Also shit like "This beautiful hat of love and glory"; cut this one out please.
Cut out and thanks for the advice :)
Oh, okay. i understood what he meant by flat prices. For your trade, the seller's B/O was 70 keys. The price you paid worked up to 81. thats why you put the range as 70-81, but that doesnt work like that. The price cannot be higher than the B/O, so that trade would be valued at 70 keys flat, not 70-81 keys. fix that for the other sales as well
Gibus sale is 60*0.9=54
Your Sale is 70*0.9=63
Sober sale is 55*0.9=50
Cowl was originally priced at 6 buds, it's just worth so much because of inflation which happened after the sale
downvote, only your first piece of evidence is correct and it's an outlier