"Look at the itemIDs. They are all from the same trade."

- Polar about the keys I missed

Resuggesting. I was positive the keys were not involved, since I could not match up the histories, but polar pointed out they were [credits to him for alerting me c:]

1/1. 1sale.

Sold for a pro ks aussie sniper(~45) + planets festive tree (~12) + 7 keys

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027757913?time=1425369600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027757913?time=1425812978 after

Buyer's history has a gap:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025497223?time=1425283200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025497223?time=1425801600 after

Histories reveal that the sniper/tree were involved. Keys in sellers bp are not involved. Item ID's reveal the keys were also involved in the sale.

Pyromancer: http://backpack.tf/item/3506438959

pro ks sniper: http://backpack.tf/item/2430483999

tree: http://backpack.tf/item/815836515

No overpay needed since both minis use pure value.

45+12+7= 64

-> 64 keys

The minis:

Mini tree:

the 10 keys in history of the buyer match the previous owner of the tree.

History of keys:

key#1: http://backpack.tf/item/3032722144

key#2: http://backpack.tf/item/2489223580

key#3: http://backpack.tf/item/2651255334

key#4: http://backpack.tf/item/2775271431

key#5: http://backpack.tf/item/3439442324

key#6: http://backpack.tf/item/3449138475

key#7: http://backpack.tf/item/3466423024

key#8: http://backpack.tf/item/2093047997

key#9: http://backpack.tf/item/3466423024

key#10: http://backpack.tf/item/2691431035

But:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25603515 buys any tree at 12

Taking 12.

Mini pro ks aussie sniper:

http://imgur.com/TnMzVQD

3 sales ~100-103€, 2 sales ~90€, 1 sale at ~105€ and 3 sales at ~110€ (and one outlier at €70)

~46 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25628635 selling with a B/O of 46

Histories of the buyers bp show 4 disappearing buds at the time of the sale (in the days before it, which was 44 keys at the time). They went to different people, but over the days approximately 44 keys of value was exchanged for the sniper over time.

=> averaging 44-46 = 45

Taking 45.

disclaimer for pricing with one sale

- Only sale in 3 months (only sale ever as far as Im concerned)

- 1/1 in existence, uncommonly sells

- Has not resold in a month (so the buyer qualifies as collector)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/244465099 it is currently up for sale, but has not sold within a month.

Additionally, buyer indicates what he bought it for in the trade, but histories clearly show planets tree instead of NnB and a pro ks instead of a spec ks aussie. Any screenshots that proof the histories wrong are welcome!

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3