"Always check the trades, sales might need to be CAPped at their B/O"

This is funny since this actually was the case

3 exist, 1 had recent sales:

http://backpack.tf/item/3268931266

Some weird sales, but enough usable ones. working them through from old to young.

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold without B/O, community market sale:

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847315?time=1425424172 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847315?time=1425456000 after

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125892525?time=1424937600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125892525?time=1425715200 after

Has a huge gap, but the untradable state of the item 3 days after the trade reveals this was a community market purchase.

Sale 2:

Unclear sale, seems to have been exchanged for a mallard tosslecap

http://backpack.tf/item/3268931266 for http://backpack.tf/item/3276361256

backpack histories give no clarifications:

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097837961?time=1427304909 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097837961?time=1427353200 after

Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125892525?time=1427007600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125892525?time=1427266800 after

http://backpack.tf/item/3003388999 GE thirst blood shows seller in history, but never pops up in its backpack. also shows it has been traded from and to the same person (the buyer). Seller had no trade post.

Sale 3:

Sold for Stare from beyond ballcap (~90)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083234925?time=1427094000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083234925?time=1427308848 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25484881 trade had B/O of 75.

-> 75 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for a duped flaming lantern bonk (~92):

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083234925?time=1427308848 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083234925?time=1427353200 after

0.9*92 = 82.8, rounding to 83

-> 83 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for massed flies pomade prince (~70):

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065879305?time=1427671444 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065879305?time=1428044400 after

Histories:

cap: http://backpack.tf/item/3268931266

prince: http://backpack.tf/item/3021313537

0.9*70 = 63

-> 63 keys OUTLIER

Sale 6:

Sold with beams goggles (~40) for duped harvest liquidators (~50):

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045485305?time=1428154932 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045485305?time=1428217200 after

mini lid at ~103, but it had a B/O of 50:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25590896

Capping it at 50. cant use this sale.

Sale 7:

Quicksold for a B/O of 40:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042866413?time=1428283881 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042866413?time=1428735600 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25610569 trade. Never bumped, instantly got a pure buyer, sold it to someone else

-> 40 keys OUTLIER

The minis

mini bonk:

Sold for orbfire TC (year outdated too..)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040360693?time=1428648076 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040360693?time=1428735600 after

TC sold for a PE attendant (~92)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049364740?time=1427266800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049364740?time=1427614414 after

Taking 92

Mini duped lid:

Sold for harvest moon drill hat (~102) + 1 key

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045485305?time=1428300017 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045485305?time=1428649200 after

Taking 103

Sales at:

Outliers and why:

Most of these sales happened pretty fast, even the higher ones. 40 went without a bump and is a clear QS. The fact that the 75 sale is capped by a b/o (actually sold at ~81) indicates 63 is the other outlier.

Final range: 75-83

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3