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Where's Necroted?
No link
sold for mallard snaggletooth
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151158590?time=1427785200 > http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151158590?time=1427871600
Price: 0.9*29 = 26 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25361953
Sold for stormy noir + 1 bud
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123066707?time=1427612400 > http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123066707?time=1427698800
Price: 14+ 8 keys (after overpay) = 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25686603 - B/O 25 keys
For your second sale, you missed out a Strange Heat of Winter(5 keys). http://backpack.tf/item/2406512307
The would put the sale ~27 keys. The average of both ranges(22-26 keys and 25-27 keys) is a difference of 2 keys. This is close enough.