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Unusual Wraith Wrap Cloud 9
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"Baby, baby baby MHHHPH"

This hat is extremely adorable, just like pyros in general.


traced 6 of them, 2 of which had recent sales


The sales


Sale 1:


Sold for an australium black box (~19)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116000378?time=1427526000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116000378?time=1427787539 after

0.9*19 =17.1, rounding to 17


-> 17 keys


Sale 2:


Sold for ghastly ghost jr tartan spartan

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003539819?time=1422691200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003539819?time=1422845575 after

Spartan is unpriced, will use this to price the spartan.


Sale 3:


Sold for duped ghost gonzila (31.5) + c9 guadalajara (30?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073247006?time=1428412833 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073247006?time=1428562800 after

Unable to make a proper mini on the guad, outdated at 30 but cant find proper recent sales. when counting as 30, this is a clear outlier.


Sale 4:


Sold for frostbite tricorne (~40)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124708453?time=1428233729 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124708453?time=1428303600 after

40*0.9=36


-> 36 keys OUTLIER


Sale 5:


Sold with for a MN private eye (28) + KaW cotton (~13)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111847452?time=1427658111 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111847452?time=1427698800 after

0.9*(28+13) = 36.9, rounding to 37

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25528057 had B/O of 21.6 keys so precise for a B/O

Rounding to 22


-> 22 keys


Sale 6:


Sold for 22 pure:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288580?time=1427586160 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288580?time=1427612400 after


-> 22 keys


Sale 7:


Sold for flies virtual reality (~17) + 2 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111413217?time=1427505116 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111413217?time=1427526000 after

no overpay needed, mini in pure

17+2 = 19


-> 19 keys


Sale 8


Sold on the SCM, cant use this

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044167286?time=1426741025 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044167286?time=1426748400 after


The minis:


Mini duped gonzila:

Sold for TaW brim (20) + O.fire degroot (11.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047117989?time=1425724899 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047117989?time=1425801600 after

Taking 31.5


Mini MN private:

sold for a searing bonk (~28)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043933751?time=1426565448 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043933751?time=1426575600 after

Taking 28


Mini virtual: (damn this is outdated, might update tomorrow)

sold for 17 pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056197656?time=1425283200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056197656?time=1425398463 after

taking 17


Sales at:

17

19

22

22

40

~54 (unclear)


Oultiers and why

Cant get an accurate mini on the guad, but its very likely overstating its price. Can't use this (and the value is far too high).

With a B/O of 22 it sold quite fast, but there's multiple sales below 22 to show lower than 22 is also a common trading point. Nothing backs up the 40 sale, considering this an outlier.


Final range: 17-22


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3