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Worst Festive i've ever seen.
Sold at 9 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25691119 (Sold for a Antarctic Parka)
Unsold at 10 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25697832 (Very young)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25691776 (Almost a day old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25681065 (A day old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25550266 (A week old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25638046 (5 days old)
That sale isn't valid. Firstly, it sold in just 1 hour. Secondly you need sellers at 9 refined to lower.
Even if you're representing the whole market here, which doesn't seem to be the case, you'd need to prove that 10 is entirely not viable to remove it completely from the price. Instead, a range might be in order, except even then you only have 1 seller at 9 ref.
I hate it when my items are unsold for 2 hours.
It quicksold
and take a look to the market!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25697832 - Young as you stated
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25691776 - Young (ALMOST A DAY OLD)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25681065 - Never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25550266 - Unbumped at 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25638046 - Unbumped at 4 days
Seller at 9 ref (yours):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25691119 - Parka was quicksold in an hour and also need to calculate overpay on items.
So technically 9 ref*0.9=8.1 aka 8.11 ref.
Lol, just sold one (level 11) for a bit over 10 ref... --> http://prntscr.com/6tpqk3 (11 ref + some items)
The '9 ref' seller is selling for either 10 ref or Antarctica parka (9-10 ref).
Several unsolds at 10 have sold