Trust me on this.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25342778

Sold for 4 buds/40 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016930629?time=1426834800 (March 20th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016930629?time=1426921200 (March 21st)

This was the the buyer from the next sale, the buyout here was 50 keys.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25104755

Sold for Miami Nights Backwards Ballcap (45 keys) & Blizzardy Storm Ol' Geezer (13 keys) & Miami Nights Gentleman's Ushanka (15 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016930629?time=1424937600 (February 26th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016930629?time=1425024000 (February 27th)

This sale should easily exceed the B/O of 5 buds / 50 keys (valuing buds at 10 keys each). Using 50 keys.

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Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25305201 Asking 60 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25700000 Asking 60 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24630922 Asking 80 keys

Offered 47 keys here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25305201#p62120236

and here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25120342#p62120241

40 keys is probably a little low to set the low-end on based on offers and current sellers. 50 flat should work.

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Ballcap Mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25646505 Seller for 45 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24890998 Offer of 4 buds / 40 keys

Using 45 keys

Geezer Mini:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/552f2f85ba8d8820668b54cf (13 keys)