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~1300 keys
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Unusual Backwards Ballcap Poisoned Shadows
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GUIZE WE MUST DRUP B4 SALE IS OUTDET-D!


Only usable sale, Almost 3 months old, Other ballcap has been traded last time on dec 26th:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24312029


The sale:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137656711?time=1421740800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137656711?time=1422055094


1 bud(14 keys), Mallard Luchadore(55 keys) and bubbling batter's(10 keys)


Buds were 14 keys.


14+55+10=79 keys, rounding up to 80.


Minis:

HOLY FUCKING SHIT I FOUND THE ONLY MINI FOR LUCHADORE(I THINK)

AND ITS EXACTLY 3 MONTHS OLD SO USABLE!!!


Luchadore:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24596106 - Sold for Burning Beret(61.5)


61.5*0.9=~55 keys


Mini for Batter's:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146760264?time=1429167600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146760264?time=1429254000


- Strange prof ks Scatter


scatter:

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Scattergun - Selling for ~8.5 keys


Many buyouts at 10,11,12

8 keys is a QS on SCM, check graph, Usually sells for 10-11

Taking 10 keys


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25554153 got offered Ghosts War Pig (200 keys fresh price) 7 days ago.

        But offers are still relevant, especially when the sale is as old as this one.

        If this item continues to get offers like that, this sale is an outlier.

          The warpig suggestion itself is ALSO old, Therefor ill go make new suggestion for it to see if it matches somehow.

          your sale is 3 months old


          too much happened in the time for it to be considered (mainly buds dropping out as a currency)

          the offer disproves the sale even more

            Took me 30 sec to find offer that is 2.5x more than suggested price, you can do better than that...

              Price of the War pig isn't fresh, The sale in the last suggestion is more than 3 months old.

                the last accepted sgt?

                  yes

                      Uh no... Last accepted sgt was 3 months ago.

                      im talking about the war pig

                        ah cheyy...my bad, though you meant the one fpr this hat

                          oh lol

            Do note the war pig got retracted (as in, it sold <1 day after it was offered). I guess this depends on what other offers itll get. I did not check out previous trade posts, but it this one is barely getting any (But to counter that, last time it bumped was 4 days ago). If its indeed the only valid/usable sale (and it seems like it is) Id say it is the closest reference point there is


            [Edit] I just noticed this reply isnt to the one that pointed out the warpig offer, but regardless.

              Thanks Foamy ;D, Be sure i'll ask Bubble if it's correct so we can be sure!

            Thank god thi sis happening its been so overpriced

              Agreed, I instantly noticed this is above burning and every other Ballcap...

              needs a drop for SURE, I got lucky i found mini for luchadore in the last day of it being valid, The ballcap sale itself is almost outdated as well!

              Glad we fixed this.

              @3v1lcl0n3| [H] GTA V [W] Offers Why do you think Basix is a pisher?...

                i jumped to conclusions too fast,hence i deleted


                  alright no problem.

                i got an offer of a ghosts warpig 220 and its first gen and hgihly desirable so i think the price is still there

                  I've added you.

                    but the offer is allready closed, just saying ^^

                      Yea i'm trying to understand if "Bubble" Retracted by any chance.

                        Was originally gonna add Bubble but since he's offline I can't add him, Not sure if STATRAK KARAMBIT FADE would tell me the truth but its worth a shot.

                        @STATRAK™ KARAMBIT FADE Would you mind accepting my add? I would like to discuss with you about your offers and hat to know exactly everything that happened.

                        not quite sure about that one

                          I need to know if Bubble retracted or no and if you discussed with him or something.

                            Since you don't care for your hat/its price I'll go ask Bubble myself when he comes online, He is probably gonna say the truth as well because it was his offer.

                              if he retracted then it should be ok for this to drop right? unless somebody else offers a similiar offer in price

                                yes

                            the offer is closed because i hid it, I'm currently looking to swap it for high tier knives and people are fairly interested

                              leo you didn't add me, also to any people in the post thinking about whether to vote let me offer you my most biased but factual opinion, the hat is overpriced, maybe but not to the extent of 80 fricking keys, i feel the reason this post has gotten so much attention is because its the highest priced bcap even over burning but just because of that it doesn't deserve to fall from the sky, at least please consider me before you vote

                                I did add you.

                                After a day i saw you didn't respond so i gave up.

                                You kept commenting but ignoring my add.

                                It's up to the mods now, See,If warpig was retracted and there isn't any other high offer...

                                thats complete bs i didnt get an add, you know what im sending one right now to end this bs

                                  Sent you an add 2 days ago when you shit talked here to fix thus, You ignored it so i removed the add yesterday.

                                  I'll accet your add when im back home :). Not in hurry to finish this.

                                    I would suggest waiting on this one. Yes this badly needs a drop, but I think that sale could definitely be an outlier. Downvote for me

                                      There is not much to go on here to determine an outlier. Scarce offers with no other recent sales made it a lot harder. Therefore, I am going to emphasize on the offers that have been made.


                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25289018

                                      Offers with updated prices include:

                                      Cloudy Moon Hermes (75.5 keys)

                                      morning glory human cannonball (124.5 keys)

                                      Scorching Rifleman(97.5 keys)


                                      The morning glory cannonball and the scorching rifleman are both easily valued more than your suggested price here.There is a need to wait for more sales before attempting to update this as this seems low compared to the offers that were made.