Suggestion: Power Surge Cold Killer at 22–23 keys

Price Suggestion

~135 keys

surge

213 votes up

17 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Mon, 27 Apr 15 11:55:17 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

"Would you stop posting these goddamn proofless suggestions?! Theres other hats I want to update!"

Countering this too (delaying my planned updates even more -_-')

[Credits (I guess) to structural defect]

Tracked 3 out of 6 with recent sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/1771734452

https://backpack.tf/item/1655773744

https://backpack.tf/item/1648131617

The sales:

Sale 1:

Sold for duped GBH berliner bucket (~22):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043625371?time=1428217200 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043625371?time=1428303600 after

no overpay needed, mini in pure

-> 22 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for steaming desert marauder (20*) + blizzy valley forge (?)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076096559?time=1428107648 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076096559?time=1428217200 after

Marauder is outdated, valley is unpriced (and this is the only trade I can find on it)

Cant use this.

Sale 3:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25587407

Sold with a B/O of 35; actual sale was a SCM purchase

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058999931?time=1428788746 buyer after

Not using

Sale 4:

Sold for S.spec ks original (5), genuine pro ks sharp dresser (7), spinechilling skull (2), all stars (1), essential accessories(1), uncraft summer hat (7), doublecross com (1.3) and a bunch of <1key cosmetics (~1.5) (total 25.8)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066723132?time=1426262670 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066723132?time=1426662000 after

0.9*25.8 = ~23.22, rounding to 23

-> 23 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for duped FL prancers (~15), duped beams metal billy (~24) and steaming barnstormer (12)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960390736?time=1426143600 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960390736?time=1426238280 after

0.9*(15+12+24) = ~45.9, rounding to 46

-> 46 keys

The minis:

Mini bucket:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25301384 sold for 22 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067345147?time=1425801600 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067345147?time=1425929739 after

Taking 22

Mini original:

http://imgur.com/YiKwg1N averagely sells between 10-12€, => 5 keys

Taking 5

Mini sharp:

http://imgur.com/zYumwsO averagely sells ~14-18 => ~7 keys

Taking 7

Mini barn:

outdated 15-16

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25236858 B/O at 12

Taking 12

Mini duped prancer:

a damn pain to find a mini on this.. hat itself is 7 months outdated

Duped sold for 2 bills (black/white) (7) + genuine ap-sap (2) + vintages (1) + genuines (1.7) + regular cosmetics (~2.8) (sum: ~14.5, rounding to 15)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160313249?time=1428476400 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160313249?time=1428603138 after

Taking 15

Mini duped billy:

Sold for MN cannonball (~31):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084579694?time=1422086400 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084579694?time=1422209832 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24780095 had a BO of 2 buds (24)

Taking 24

MN cannon:

Sold for bubbling noble (19) + eerie western (16)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084579694?time=1423016055 before

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084579694?time=1423036800 after

0.9*(19+16) = ~31.

Taking 31

Sales at:

22

23

46

Outlier and why:

Trades all had either a BO far higher than the actual sale or no BO at all. It did not sell for 35 for a week. 46 exceeds the other sales AND a B/O that has been up for a week by far. Considering it an outlier.

Final range: 22-23

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3

Hey, nice proofs bro :) , seems like somebody finally posts something that is supported by facts, just wanted to let you know I bought one for ~40 keys in Australiums and somebody else bought it for ~. just in case you wanted to add or I can even make a proof myself because you don't seem too interested in the hat. So I guess I will add to it but thank you for actually proving your suggestion. though the whole 22-23 range even though there were 3 or 4 sold for around the 50 mark seems kind of out of place but that's ok you couldn't have known ALL of the trades made with it. Good Luck Trading! :D

Any supportive/counter proof is welcome :P If theres evidence that there have been multiple sales above the suggested range, the 46 might have not been an outlier after all. This is all I could find at the time of suggesting.

sry for not being specific but its just what I bought it for / guy before me bought it for / expired trade a while back :\

Dont worry, thats okay :P

Cant find out what the guy before you bought it for (histories have large gaps) but it seems like the seller got a max and a team spirit paint in return.

Was your sale an aussie sniper? If so, I should probably stretch the range to ~23-33 ish to make it more realistic.

sounds reasonable but I am the only person selling it right now on Outpost and I don't think there are any on other trade sites (not positive if ones on other trade sites I just haven't found any yet) and I think its price seems kind of low based on the hat itself because I would say it looks better than disco beat down and around the same as a spread out Robo_Active so I would say its like 85 (bid difference I know but im only one selling it and it seems like the hat itself SOHULD be that price)

Im quite sure the DbD one is outdated (and should be lower now). Roboactive is a significantly higher tier than power surge though.

Regardless of the above, I cannot base prices on effect comparison, and will have to go with the sales. However, since there have been two more recent sales above this current range, Ill resuggest, taking their values into account as well

ill take one of these for 22 keys :o

upnote (◕‿◕✿)

upvote! i checked some of the proofs. seems leggit