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Unusual Titanium Tyrolean Something Burning This Way Comes
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"This hat BATter gets priced"


Came across this when doing the ML conquistador (Although I guessed it'd be lower than this)

Turned out I was right

Found 2, only one had recent sales:


The sales:


Sale 1:


Sold for ML conquistador (~17)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960390736?time=1428735600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960390736?time=1428888775 after

Mini based on pure sales, no overpay


-> 17 keys


Sale 2:


Sold for KaW headsplitter (~50)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124502543?time=1426551433 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124502543?time=1426834800 after

0.9*50 = 45


-> 45 keys


Sale 3:


Sold for bubbling KE (~42)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045769090?time=1425715200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045769090?time=1425840619 after


0.9*42 = 37.8, rounding to 38


-> 38 keys


Sale 4:


Sold for beams steel shako (~40)

http://backpack.tf/item/2047627490 for http://backpack.tf/item/3396162593

0.9*40 = 36


-> 36 keys


Sale 5:


Sold for stormy halogen lamp (~20) + overclocked botdogger (~15)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026707500?time=1423274964 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026707500?time=1423382400 after

Both are outdated.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24961881 trade had a B/O of 2 buds (24)

Sodl in about a day


-> 24 keys [QS]


The minis:


Mini shako:


sold for TaW modest metal (35) + gfetti bombing run (15)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003539819?time=1422850376 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003539819?time=1422864000 after

TaW metal is outdated at ~40, but has an offer up at its low end, using that

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25723668 B/O of 40 on it

Taking 40


Mini headsplitter:

Last suggestion recently expired (just outdated at 62)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25711175 BO of 50

Taking 50


Sales at:

17

24 [QS]

36

38

50


Outliers and why:

24 is a QS, capped by a B/O that sold in a little over a day. 17 is an obvious outlier. Theres enough higher sales to make 24 an outlier as well. 50 is based on a hat's B/O price, and is too weak to support a high end. Excluding it as well


Final range: 36-38


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3

    I oughta batter you for making such terrible puns