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A proof-less suggestion for this hat earlier inspired me to do this. You're welcome random person who owns this hat and is too lazy to look up sales to price it :P
Sale 1:
Sold with 4 keys for a Hellfire Rebel Rouser
(66*0.9) - 4 = 55.4 rounding to 55 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25683967
Seller Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055358018?time=1429081200
Seller After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055358018?time=1428908400
Sale 2:
Sold with 3 buds, a Prof. S. Pan, and ~3 keys of sweets for a Miami Nights Hong Kong Cone (buds were 5 at the time)
(90*0.9) - 15 - 16 - 3 = 47 keys
http://gyazo.com/a07c8086a33e9e9bf99a01354cb0184e
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25508932
Seller Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029146605?time=1427958000
Seller After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029146605?time=1428044400
Notes:
Mini for the Prof. Strange Pan
1 sold on the SCM for $37.49 on the day of the sale
37.5/2.4 = 15.625 rounding to 16 keys
Conclusion:
Sales at 55 and 47, taking the final range at 47 to 55 keys.
lmao I was offered this pile of shit for like 250 keys
thanks for pricing it
lol i see a 250 key B/O for this
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059868947?time=1429254000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25710415 - 1:1 for harvest nano :O Could update that with this
Even if that Harvest Nano ends up being worth anything it would be an outlier here, although if that is a request from you to update it than I'll take it :)
I happened to be involved with the Hellfire Rebel Rouser trade. At the time, the Rebel Rouser was worth around 17 -18 buds, so I decided to trade my Sammy Cap for it (my B/O was 17 buds on tf2op). A few hours after we completed the trade, I had found out that it dropped in price to around 12 buds. If I had known that the Rebel Rouser was going to drop, I would have declined. So at the time, I was willing to trade the Sammy Cap for a hat worth 17 buds, not 12. This doesn't really help with this suggestion, but I just wanted to point it out.
This has been pointed out to me before, however that is completely irrelevant in pricing this sammy cap. The Rebel Rouser was very outdated before that suggestion had been accepted. Now if the rebel rouser had never had its price updated, then in this suggestion I would have to make a mini for it. In that mini I would most likely end up using the same sales that were used in the suggestion to lower the rebel rouser. So in that case this suggestion wouldn't change this price at all. You taking that offer simply was bad judgement I guess, but I still can't see this hat going for much more.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25611607 Sold for Stormy Storm Sammy Cap + 1 bud + 10 keys + Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Flame Thrower + ~5 refs in sweets. This should be easily worth more than your high end. Probably can use this as your high end.
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074849590?time=1428217200 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074849590?time=1428476400 After