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There's a lot of sellers at 9 right now, which is within the range, but there are a lot of other sellers that are below that range. So here comes the proof:
Classifieds (at the time of posting):
x1 8 ref
x6 8.33 ref
x1 8.44 ref
x2 8.66 ref
Sellers:
9 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25748746
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24277980
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24165257
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25708012
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25707490
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25740522
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24890149
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25696451
8.88 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25739974
8.77 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25568355
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25703987
8.66 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23930266
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25308923
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25714596
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25716138
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25713179
8.44 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25739096 (links to trade.tf for prices --> http://www.trade.tf/user/mybot/trades/76561198134523989
8.33 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25702551
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25745927
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25732648
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25719475
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25220065
8 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25488439
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25475437
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25742361
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25728074
Analysis: There are many sellers under the range of 8.88-9 ref, especially at 8.66 and 8.33. There are still many sellers at 9 ref, so it should still be in the range, but due to the amount of sellers below this, the range definitely needs to be larger and moving downwards.
P.S. Any counter-proof, suggestions, and/or critiques are happily accepted; I'm pretty new at this and need to figure out where I'm falling short on proof. Thanks :)
Two of your 8 ref proof are selling for prices greater than 8 ref and the two that are at 8 ref one is young and the other one has not been bumped.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25488439 selling for 8.22 (3 weeks/bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25475437 selling for 8.22 (3 weeks/bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25742361 selling for 8 ref (young 14 hours)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25728074 selling for 8 ref (1 day/unbumped)
Yeah, you're right, I may have to redo this suggestion with a different range because in this case 8 and 8.22 ref are outliers. I did not notice that before, I probably wrote it in wronf or something. I'll definitely look into redoing the suggestion though; I'm not looking to be right, but to suggest a better price. Thanks for the help :)
Honestly, range may be best suited to 8.33-8.66. But I'm fine with expanding the low and high ends a bit on either side.