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~650 keys
peace
Unusual Skullcap Circling Peace Sign
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"Get a skullcap, hippie"

Resuggesting, thanks to additional insights and evidence. Have been hesistant to do so, but eventually decided to resuggest


Credits go to Dirty Dan and Jacobmeister | bp.tf for providing additional feedback and proof c:


1/2 in existence, 3 recent sales


The sales:


Sale1:


Sold for aussie eyelander (40), pro ks aussie sticky (24), aussie nade launcher (19), summer shades (6.6) and 84 keys pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054492880?time=1425283200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054492880?time=1425369600 after

0.9*(40+24+19+6.6) + 84 = 164.64, rounding 165.


-> 165 keys


Sale 2:


Sold with logo rack (45) + 45 CSGO keys (50) for a burning pomade (312)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054492880?time=1428044400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054492880?time=1428130800 after

Proof of CSGO keys

http://i.imgur.com/MM2hs47.png?1

http://imgur.com/rZoGgHT

at a conversion rate of ~2.50:2.20€, 45 CSGO keys equals ~50 keys


0.9*(312-45) - 50= 190


-> 190 keys


Sale 3:


Sold for a steaming viewvinder (118) + 67 keys

Buyer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960533774?time=1428044400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960533774?time=1428339014 after


Seller:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103901986?time=1428130800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103901986?time=1428356741 after

Histories:

Cap: http://backpack.tf/item/3319510795

view: http://backpack.tf/item/1910337950

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25599118 the trade, stating what it sold for

I would love to list the histories of all 67 keys, but that'd be a daym long list.


0.9*118 + 67 = 173.2, rounding to 173.


-> 173 keys


The minis:


mini viewfinder: 7 months outdated at ~190.

Sold for aussie rocket (49) + spec ks aussie amby (16) + pro ks aussie sticky (~24) + pro ks S.f BB (14) + steaming samureye (15)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125758766?time=1425970800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125758766?time=1426099045 after

49+16+24+14+15 = 118.

Taking 118.


Mini pro ks aussie sticky (used in both sale 1 and in the mini on viewfinder)

http://imgur.com/Jb76F1v Sells averagely between 50-60€ -> 25

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25603034 B/O of 24, 4 days

Taking 24


Steaming samur outdated at 16-17, but

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25506027 unsold at 15

Showing 16-17 is overstated. for minimini, this should do.


mini pro ks S.f BB:

http://imgur.com/ObJG9PL averagely sells around 32€ -> ~14 keys (excluding both high and low outliers)

taking 14


Sales at:

165

173

190


outliers and why

240 seems to be a high outlier. Value is exceedingly higher (the difference between it and the low end would be ~1/3rd of the highest value) and theres no other sales any near it that back up as common trading point. Additionally, it would be pricing a lower tier unusual with a higher tier unusual's price.

Including the 190 in the range. The hightier-lowtier pricing is not so much a problem here since it is no huge difference (i.e. its not using a 100key hat bulk trade to price a 10key hat) and the sale fits with the values of the other sales.


Final range: 165-190


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3

    huh, when I owned this I apparently sold it for half value when I owned it..