Suggestion: Purple Energy Defiant Spartan at 45–53 keys

Price Suggestion

~74 keys

p.nrg

120 votes up

25 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Wed, 22 Apr 15 17:56:31 +0000 by polar.

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Resuggesting! Someone else do green energy please :3

Sale 1 - Sold for Time Warp Jeepcap + max + ~2 keys in sweets bit old, hopefully still usable

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25239999[/url]

(.9*27) + 27 + 2 = ~53 keys after overpay

bp of seller before [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029577661?time=1426230000[/url] --> after [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029577661?time=1426316400[/url]

Spartan - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/276897733[/url]

Jeepcap - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/2487576145[/url]

Sale 2 - Sold with a Spec Ks Sf Rocket Launcher for an Spec Ks Aussie Rocket Launcher also a bit old

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25342269[/url]

Average sales on Scm for the Aussie - $135

Average sales on Scm for the S.festive - $50

Valuing keys at $2.3

(135/2.3) - (50/2.3) = ~33 keys after overpay, outlier

bp of seller before [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075564417?time=1426304328[/url] --> after [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075564417?time=1426316400[/url]

Spartan - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/278638277[/url]

Sf RL - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/615616371[/url] - history is a bit wonked because it's duped(doesn't affect price) but it still ended up in the buyer's bp

Aussie RL - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/3361317873[/url]

Sale 3 - Sold for 40 keys + ~5 keys in CS:GO stuff

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24806557[/url]

40 + (5*.9) = ~45 keys after overpay

bp of buyer before [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995?time=1429340400[/url] --> after [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995?time=1429426800[/url]

Spartan - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/261309516[/url]

Credits to OneGameOneGamer for the proof --> [url]http://imgur.com/ZTNRhBW[/url]

Sale 4 - Sold alongside a Duped Burning Baker Boy, Grail High Five, Gifted Grail Battin, and a Spec Ks Sf Rocket Launcher for a Duped Beams Blighted Beak + Beams Cosa Nostra

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25362060[/url]

Yeah I'm not touching this....nvm I will D:

x + 80 + 117 + 27 + 22 = (200 + 100)*.9

x + 246 = 270

x = 24, outlier

Minis for this ;_;

Baker Boy - Pretty sure it's duped [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25739550[/url] b/o at 95 but used to have one at 80, it didn't sell for a week [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25522922[/url] Going 80

Battin' A Thousand - There's really nothing to go off of besides the one that was involved in the trade..which is here [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25732924[/url] Guess I'll have to use the b/o * .9? 27

Blighted Beak - [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24285359[/url] been offered $350-400 paypal, also was offered 12-15? buds back when they were 11-12 keys each.... kinda old though

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25621517[/url] more recently declined about ~290 in unusuals(of which 2/3 are outdated and 1/3 was duped) considering that, ~230 should be fine...going 200 for the beak

Cosa - Sold for 10 buds back when they were 10 keys each

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25362012[/url]

[url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964430885?time=1426316400[/url] --> after [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964430885?time=1426402800[/url]

Sales at 24,33,45,53 --> 45-53 as they both involved some form of pure

Looks good to me ^^

Quick advice: Your sale 4 (which you initially werent going to touch) is something you indeed shouldnt use. They fall under the category 'complex sales'. with the value of the two returned hats totalling at ~270, you shouldnt use it to price a hat worth ~40 (as it often undervalues a single hat, sometimes even bringing its value to ~0 or below).

It does not apply on this, since you correctly noted it as outlier anyway, but just for future reference :D

Thanks! Tbh I was bored and had nothing else to do so I just did the minis even though I knew it wasn't necessary XD

I sold my one for a duped burning jumper's jeep cap + 1 bud (13 keys in the past).

I'll provide evidence when I get back home.

Show A Picture Of The Trade!

Hey 45Keys Was A Quicksell! I Though QS Don't Count, And The BurningJeep !!

His trade was up for 2 months, I don't think that should qualify as a quicksell. As for the sale involving the jeep, it might be too old to use since it was done when buds were 13 keys meaning 2+ month old trade.

Sale 3 - Sold for 40 keys + ~5 keys in CS:GO stuff

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24806557

40 + (5*.9) = ~45 keys after overpay

This Was A QS

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25509598[/url] Trade has been up for about three weeks, seller was willing to swap for a max + spec ks aussie black box, but the person who offered either declined or retracted (comments). 26 + .9*(50/2.3) = ~46 --> Essentially makes it his b/o. So b/o at 46 with no luck of selling for three weeks rules out that 45 can be a quicksell.