9 month old price!

Sale 1:

Sold for Molten Mallard Condor Cap (150*0.9) + Molten Mallard Federal Casemaker (37.5*0.9) = 135 + 33.75 = 168.75 (rounding to 170 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25667299

http://i.imgur.com/gQYiJp6.png

Sale 2: (invalid sale, way too complicated)

Involved in a bulk deal for Burning Stash + Sunbeams Stash

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25361582

http://i.imgur.com/mmhrZ0l.png

Sale 3: (outlier)

Sold for Scorching Armored Authority* = 113 keys (no overpay, was offered on)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25345762

http://i.imgur.com/ccFmTUA.png

Sale 4: (invalid sale, quicksold for pure)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25186104

Sale 5: (going to use this sale to update the price of the DaD Condor Cap)

Sold for DaD Condor Cap + 1 bud

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25725245

http://i.imgur.com/q3BZJbu.png

Sale 6: (credits to -».•´Woifilicious`•.«- for pointing out this sale)

Sold with Australium Stickybomb Launcher for DaD El Jefe

X + 16 = 180*0.9

X = 146 keys (rounding to 145 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25216579 → http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25221860

Mini-suggestion for Scorching Armored Authority*:

Sale 1:

Sold for Australium RL (48) + Holy Grail Meet the Medic Taunt (72*0.9) = 48 + 64.8 = 112.8 (rounding to 113 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25066484

http://i.imgur.com/rZH53f8.png

Sale 2: (invalid sale, outdated hats)

Sold with Stormy Le Party Phantom for Roboactive Company Man

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24960677

http://i.imgur.com/1WyGHWx.png

The only one currently on the market is duped: http://backpack.tf/item/919923107

~Valuing this at 113 keys.

Notes:

Hat in question: http://backpack.tf/item/2541436576

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25229224 - B/O of 13.5 buds = 148.5 keys (buds were 11 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25212592 - B/O of 14 buds = 154 keys (buds were 11 keys)

Conclusion:

Given the B/O's happen to revolve around ~150 keys, as well two valid sales at ~145 and ~170 keys, valuing this hat at 145-170 keys.

Feel free to support/counter my suggestion!