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This hat's massively inflated.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25527308 ~ Harvest Lucky + Duped Steaming War Pig = 140 keys after overpay
Mini for War Pig
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25605732 ~ B/O of 40 keys
====================
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24771085 ~ Heart Stash + C9 War Pig + Pro Disciplinary + 19 keys (2 pure at that time) = 172 keys after overpay
Feel free to counter or support my proofs.
Oh, all the Kabutos got massively inflated during the conversion. I would suggest going through them, since they really did went up.
I would prefer if you round high end to 170 keys, but this is minor.
The second sale is 3 months old. Isn't there any usable sale here? http://backpack.tf/item/3564534996
Involved the demonflame bubblepipe which is 3 months old and inflated. I remember someone making a mini on that for 110 or so in another suggestion. That sale will probably be around the suggested range or a bit lower.