Price Suggestion
Frostbite Harmburg
Submitted by oblivion
~210 keys
frostbite
Unusual Harmburg Frostbite
159 votes up
14 votes down
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Sale 1

Sold/offered with 2 keys and ~1 keys in sweets for pe scotch bonnet (36) = 36 - 3 = 33 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25463916 quicksold?


Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141166612?time=1427007600 (March 22nd)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141166612?time=1427266800 (March 25th)


Sale 2

Sold/offered with 10 keys and ~8 keys sweets for a spec ks aussie rocket launcher (55-65) = 60 - 18 = 42 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25336038


Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080269035?time=1426575600 (March 17th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080269035?time=1426662000 (March 18th)


Sale 3

Sold/offered with 4 keys and ~7 key sweets for sunbeams firewall helm (65) = 65 - 11 = 54 keys


Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1425884400 (March 9th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1425970800 (March 10th)


Sale 4

Sold for 32 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25269124 quicksold?


Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158021274?time=1425456000 (March 4th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158021274?time=1425542400 (March 5th)


Mini for ge scotch bonnet:

Sold for 4 buds pure when they were 8 keys = 36 keys


Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005574075?time=1427526000 (March 28th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005574075?time=1427612400 (March 29th)


Mini for spec aussie rocket launcher:

Average buyer pays ~$150

Average seller receives ~$127.50

Scm key price ~$2.30

150/2.30 = 65 keys

127.50/2.30 = 55 keys

Range = 55-65 keys


Mini for beams firewall helm:

Sold for holy grail meet the medic (65-79) = 72 * 0.9 = 65 keys


Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1425970800 (March 10th)

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1426057200 (March 11th)


_________________________________________


There were a few sales inbetween that I couldn't figure out.


Sales at 32, 33, 42, 54


Support proof:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25476670 - unsold at 5 buds (~28 keys) for 3 weeks suggests the higher sales are outliers but not 100% sure cause this seems kinda low and the 2 lower sales could be quicksells so any thoughts on the range are welcome. Quicksells ~32 but unsold at 28 are confusing me. Without the unsold I'd use the two higher sales for the range but with it idk.


Any feedback/tips appreciated.

    congrats on blue belt~

      Thanks. You too p soon I'm sure. Any thoughts on the range? :P

        sorry don't know much on unusual suggestions.

        32-33 keys seems to be the best you could pick from that but I can understand your confusion with the possible quicksold and unsold at lower price.

        Someone else will know more.

          I'm interested in this hat anyway, so I suppose I can see what that guy with the 5 Bud B/O wants.


          I know there's a Hellfire Metal Slug with a "3 Bud" B/O, but he declined an unusual + 10 Keys, so the usage of buds in his trade is clearly outdated. Might be the case here as well.

            I checked the bud price at the time he made the trade to get the BO

              Ah, that makes sense. I didn't notice the timeframe, and the trade I was referencing is 3 months old, so buds have certainly change a ton since then (although it still annoys me that he left his B/O in buds even though he clearly doesn't want buds).

                Yeah idk why people don't change their BOs to keys if they don't want buds/know that buds have gone down

                  He jacked up his B/O when I added him to discuss the price, so 5 Buds apparently was not what he wanted.

                    He didn't have any offers for 5 buds in 1 month anyway so it still support the suggestion I think


                    What did he say when you asked him about his BO?

                      He asked what my offer was and I said 25 Keys, and he told me to read the description because he was asking for 65. Not quite so bluntly, but I still find it rather annoying to change your B/O like that when you see you've clearly got someone who added you to offer.

        A lot of buds sellers just forgot to update their b/os. He has done so now. So excluding your higher sales is going to be a problem.

          Hmmm do you think a wider range would be better then, just including all sales? 30-55 or something?

            This is a situation in which I wouldn't round. 32-54 I think is better than 30-55 since the range is narrower and 32 is a pure sale.

              Ok, I'll resuggest with that. Thanks for the tips.