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"The most solid sale here is the one at 71 keys pure. It took 2 weeks. That should be included in the range."
- Polar as a response to my suggestion
Resuggesting according to this advice [Credits to Polar c:]
2 exist, both have recent sales
The sales
Sale 1:
Sold for 61 keys + 1 bud (10)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107457846?time=1426402800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107457846?time=1426748400 after
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25242793 The trade, shows he was collecting
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25375735 quicksold the shot for 10 (51 keys in his bp + 10 from this trade = 61)
Buyer has too large of a gap to properly check (and many of the keys have vanished, probably invested in CSGO stuff)
61 + 10 = 71
-> 71 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for ghosts Jr hat of cards (53) + orbfire milkman (18) + black bills (3.5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1423728000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1423814400 after
0.9*(53+18+3.5) = 67.05, rounding to 67
-> 67 keys
Sale 3:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25040385
Sold for secret nappers (~96)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1423900800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1424246400 after
0.9*95 = 86.4, rounding to 86
-> 86 keys
Sale 4:
Sold for blizzardy TC (60) + orbfire hotties hoodie (23) + steaming AA (~12)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1424764800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1424875985 after
No overpay on tc, mini has accounted for pure
60+0.9*(23+12) = ~91.5, rounding to 92
-> 92 keys
Sale 5:
Sold for beams merryweather (90)
http://backpack.tf/item/296055475 for http://backpack.tf/item/2040166070
Sale happened fast, so histories dont show properly
0.9*90 = 81
-> 81 keys
The minis:
Mini milkman: outdated at ~24
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24888595
Was up for sale at 1.5 buds (buds@12 at that time => 18 keys) when it sold in this trade
Taking 18
Mini nappers:
Sold for beams thirst blood (92) + 4 keys and 5 ref
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1425198768 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1428908400 after
Taking 96
Mini steaming AA
Sold for duped steaming noble:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151518726?time=1423987200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151518726?time=1424096790 after
noble was unsold at 1.5 buds (last seen march 27th; buds were 8 (1.5 = 12 keys))
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25302139
Taking 12
Mini TC:
Sold for ks aussie minigun (25) + 2 buds (24) + 14 keys pure
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1424937600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1425078659 after
0.9*25 + 14 + 24 = ~60 keys after overpay
Taking 60
Sales at:
67
71
81
86
92
Outliers and why
81 sale went within a day. between 81 and 92 is a sale that evenly spreads this range. Sales below 81 are relatively far below 81; due to that being a sale that happened in a day, Im inclined to say 67 and 71 are outliers. The fact that the 71 seller was collecting pure (which was then spent within a few days) supports this as wellIncluding 71 in the range. Solid full pure sale that took a decent amount of time to sell.
Final range: 71-92
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3