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~1860 keys
darkblaze
Unusual Triboniophorus Tyrannus Darkblaze
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"The most solid sale here is the one at 71 keys pure. It took 2 weeks. That should be included in the range."

- Polar as a response to my suggestion


Resuggesting according to this advice [Credits to Polar c:]


2 exist, both have recent sales


The sales


Sale 1:


Sold for 61 keys + 1 bud (10)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107457846?time=1426402800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107457846?time=1426748400 after

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25242793 The trade, shows he was collecting

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25375735 quicksold the shot for 10 (51 keys in his bp + 10 from this trade = 61)

Buyer has too large of a gap to properly check (and many of the keys have vanished, probably invested in CSGO stuff)


61 + 10 = 71


-> 71 keys


Sale 2:


Sold for ghosts Jr hat of cards (53) + orbfire milkman (18) + black bills (3.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1423728000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1423814400 after

0.9*(53+18+3.5) = 67.05, rounding to 67


-> 67 keys


Sale 3:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25040385

Sold for secret nappers (~96)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1423900800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1424246400 after

0.9*95 = 86.4, rounding to 86


-> 86 keys


Sale 4:


Sold for blizzardy TC (60) + orbfire hotties hoodie (23) + steaming AA (~12)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1424764800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1424875985 after

No overpay on tc, mini has accounted for pure

60+0.9*(23+12) = ~91.5, rounding to 92


-> 92 keys


Sale 5:


Sold for beams merryweather (90)

http://backpack.tf/item/296055475 for http://backpack.tf/item/2040166070

Sale happened fast, so histories dont show properly

0.9*90 = 81


-> 81 keys


The minis:


Mini milkman: outdated at ~24

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24888595

Was up for sale at 1.5 buds (buds@12 at that time => 18 keys) when it sold in this trade

Taking 18


Mini nappers:


Sold for beams thirst blood (92) + 4 keys and 5 ref

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1425198768 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975208975?time=1428908400 after

Taking 96


Mini steaming AA

Sold for duped steaming noble:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151518726?time=1423987200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151518726?time=1424096790 after

noble was unsold at 1.5 buds (last seen march 27th; buds were 8 (1.5 = 12 keys))

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25302139

Taking 12


Mini TC:

Sold for ks aussie minigun (25) + 2 buds (24) + 14 keys pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1424937600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008608496?time=1425078659 after

0.9*25 + 14 + 24 = ~60 keys after overpay

Taking 60


Sales at:

67

71

81

86

92


Outliers and why

81 sale went within a day. between 81 and 92 is a sale that evenly spreads this range. Sales below 81 are relatively far below 81; due to that being a sale that happened in a day, Im inclined to say 67 and 71 are outliers. The fact that the 71 seller was collecting pure (which was then spent within a few days) supports this as well

Including 71 in the range. Solid full pure sale that took a decent amount of time to sell.


Final range: 71-92


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3