Suggestion: Orbiting Fire Coffin Kit at 1120 keys

Price Suggestion

~780 keys

o.fire

31 votes up

12 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 11 May 15 00:17:43 +0000 by aaroncsn.

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Comments

Someone is doing an update for unusual Coffin Kit?!?! That only happens in like, ages!

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25717599 - NOTE THAT COFFIN KIT WAS SOLD ALONE

Sold for:

Green Confetti The Law(200)

Green Energy Skullcap(440)

duped Purple Energy Bonk Boy(150)

duped Vivid plasma Hazmat Headcase(408)

Balaclavas Max(26.5)

Minis:

Duped Purple Energy Bonk boy:

http://i.imgur.com/17Dfbg2.png - Sold for 150 keys pure (proof given from the C9 Heavy shirt suggestion)

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/552445ebb88d884d408b46bb

Duped Vivid Plasma Hazmat Headcase:

Too many complex sales for hazmat/unusable sales so i'm using 408

440+408+200+26.5=1074.5 rounding up to 1075

1075*0.9=970 rounded

970+150=1120

The price for the hazmat is ancient and only for a clean one. You need a mini on the duped hazmat.

ok, will find one.

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53f63a402f822b60328b48ea - unsuccessful suggestion trying to base off duped one, seeing as the clean one and duped were created close time each other (counter sgt) i think 408 is enough accurate for hazmat.

8 months ago, that's way tooo old sorry.

the price of clean hazmat is also 8 months old.

If 408 can be accepted if hazmat was clean and there werent other sales, duped should be too

Nope it cant be used even if it was clean. :P

ok ok ill go find a better sale so pls dont close the sgt D:

I found a qs at ~150 keys

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20HazMat%20Headcase - Sold on 15th march

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25254507

Took him 2 weeks then, barely a qs.

yes but i think cloudy modest+cloudy kabuto is pretty close

here's a sale:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24265397 - both of these for duped vivid hazmat

If it matters, i think everyone would already value the GE skullcap more as i did in the trade at closer to 500 keys and i did value the hazmat at more like 350. Just my 2 cents.

Yea um, I see this as support:

valuing skullcap at 60 keys higher and hazmat 58 keys lower makes this price looks about correct :D

May i ask when this will get reviewed ?

Good point, my sgts tend to stay up 20-30 days now...

I'd appreciate to get some more feedback .

Sorry for taking so long to review this suggestion. This is a very complex suggestion.

Well the problem with this suggestion lies on two hats. The Green Confetti Law and the Duped Vivid Hazmat. The others are pretty solid prices.

First let's address the Law.

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/553733f8b98d88262d8b5824 The inaccuracy in that suggestion lies on the PE thirst blood and the Steaming KE which were both overvalued in that suggestion. These together add up to at least 25 keys off. Valuing 200 keys for the Green Fetti Law is high here because of these.

Now to the duped Vivid Plasma Hazmat. As Wolfi rightly mentioned that the price is ancient. Without a proper recent sale for it, this is clearly inflated. It has definitely gone through the inflation due to the buds to keys conversion. Using the price as it is is way too inaccurate.

You mentioned the sale of cloudy modest+cloudy kabuto for the duped hazmat. First of all the cloudy kabuto is duped.

Now lets look at sales for cloudy modest

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25702642 Sold for Frostbite Winter Woodsman(305 keys * 0.9 = ~275 keys)

Duped Cloudy Kabuto

Sold for Scorching Ground Control (263 keys * 0.9 = ~237 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068589785?time=1428649200 (April 10th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068589785?time=1429599600 (April 21st)

However, this sale is highly likely an outlier. Looking at this which is the clean version http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24656165. There is an offer of 21 buds by Judge Karl on the 27th of feb and the seller was willing to take it. At the time, buds were 12 keys which makes it ~252 keys.

With so much uncertainty revolving around the hazmat, there is a need to give the duped hazmat a more definite value before attempting this. Just by relying on the seller willing to take 21 buds, (~252 keys at the time), this may be off by 150 keys-200 keys. On the basis of this, i will be closing this suggestion.