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One recent sale, sold for $115 on the steam market
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24694999
http://i.imgur.com/IhAEOIw.png
Buyer pays $115
Seller receives $97.75
Scm key price at time ~$2.40
115/2.40 = 48 keys
97.75/2.40 = 41 keys
Range = 41-48 keys
Feedback welcome