Don't suggest late at night kids.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25269803 Sold for 15 keys pure

SALE 2 (credit to Sugarcube)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24857972 Sold for Pink BMOC + Pro KS C. Gardener + Overclocked Dapper's

B/O for Toque was 2

Toque was also Brokered

X = 1*0.9 + 0.5*0.9 + 0.9*0.9

X = 2.2

X = 2 (B/O)

Dapper's http://backpack.tf/item/1706916617

BMOC http://backpack.tf/item/644451684

Gardener http://backpack.tf/item/2946999775

Toque http://backpack.tf/item/3133075390

Mini for Gardener

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Market%20Gardener Sold for $27.49 on Feb 21st, the non-quicksellish sale

$27.49 + $27.49/1.15 = $51.39

$51.39/2 = $25.70

Keys were $2.46 on Feb 21st

$25.70/2.46 = 10.5 keys

Buds were 12 keys when this was accepted.

One for 14 pure:

Buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045650201?time=1425110400 (February 28th)

Buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045650201?time=1425196800 (March 1st)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25131720 Sold for Spec KS Aussie SMG w/ a 5 key part + S. Sniper w/ a 2 key part + a key in metal

B/O for Toque was 2

X = 0.1 + 1.1*0.9 + 0.1

X = 1.2

Everything http://gyazo.com/0a659e185bed5f13a4232741dfdd4a14

Toque http://backpack.tf/item/3133075390

Mini for Sniper

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Killstreak%20Sniper%20Rifle Going for about half a key, + a key for the part

X = 0.5 + 1

X = 1.5 keys

Mini for SMG

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Australium%20SMG Sold for 28$ on Feb 21st

28 + 28/1.15 = $52.35

52.35/2 = $26.18

Keys were $2.46 on Feb 21st

$26.18/2.46 = 10.6 keys

Adding 2.5 keys for the part (Damage Dealt)

X = 13.1 keys, rounding down to 13

I'm saying 24 is an outlier as there is 3 sales around this price.