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This needs a fresher price, 1 year 4 months old.
Proof:
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25775626 (100 keys, below price already)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25677235 (at least 100 keys)
Other sellers have no b/o
Solds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25327088 (sold for an aussie flame ~16 + collectors phlog ~ 15 + aussie FaN ~ 14 + aussie frontier ~ 11 + aussie blutsager ~ 11 + aussie smg ~ 9 + aussie tomislav ~ 9 + collectors posmon ~ 8 + aussie axtingusher ~ 8 + collectors gunslinger ~ 8 + collectors widowmaker ~ 8 + collectors machina ~ 7 + collectors ullapool caber ~ 4 ) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069435848?time=1426143600 and http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069435848?time=1426230000
Thats all together 120 keys (overpay x0.9) = 108 keys
Couldn't find mini for the first "things that need mini" but yeah i asked if i needed 2 solds if im lowering with sellers lower then the price and they said no (bp.tf forum members) .
Things that need a mini:
(no trade but history) sold for a green energy modest pile of scrap + stormy 13th hour prancers pride (needs mini) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043966539?time=1429167600 and http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043966539?time=1429254000
(no trade either) sold for a anti freeze bicorne (possibly sweets) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894?time=1427180400 and http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894?time=1427094000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24930008 (sold for a gifted green energy yellow belt + a pro ks aussie sniper couldn't do gifted and pro ks and g energy yellow belt is outdated http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043017880?time=1425283200 and http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043017880?time=1425283200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25578460 (??!?!?)
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Range because of 100 key seller and 108 key sold.
Last sale : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25652851
huh? thats not the item?
Thats the unusual that it traded for
You didn't give the forums members any context.
I'd evaluate a couple of those other trades, 108 looks like an outlier.
And the first non-evaluated sale is wrong, the blizzardy tipped I priced for you was involved.
explain :/
Because it essentially sold for a ton of crap, it's likely the parties involved were expecting more than 10% overpay.
So when we evaluate it using 10% overpay, the value we get is unreasonably high.
The lower B/O supports this conclusion.